ROBINSON, JON WILLIAM
Sign in to add to a watchlist β
canonical Β· robinson/jonathan Β· 2 aliases Β· 1 outbound Β· 0 inbound
FEC candidate β ROBINSON, JON WILLIAM
R Β· house Β· open seat Β· FEC H2MD05056
Elections (1)
- 1982 general house Β· MD-5 β lost_general
Committees (0)
No committees on file.
Election prediction
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 20.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
| open seat | -5.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Independent expenditures for/against
Coordinated party expenditures
Committee assignments
Congressional staff (offices this person hires)
STOCK Act trades
Timeline
Every typed-graph event involving this entity, newest first. Each row is one edge in the influence graph; the inline strip under the row shows the counterpart's own context (a bill's latest action, a hearing's chamber + date, a filing's form type + filed date, a clip's source + excerpt) so the timeline reads like a Wikipedia citation rail.
- 2026-05-24 Β· joined committee Affordable Maryland PAC (chair) Β· md_committee_officer
Connected on the graph
1 typed relationship in the influence graph β 0 inbound, 1 outbound, grouped by type.
member of committee (1)
| date | dir | entity | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | β | Affordable Maryland PAC | β | CHAIR | md_committee_officer |
Aliases (2)
| source | id | name at source | jurisdiction | confidence | linked by | linked at |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| md_committee_officer | 96278049-cf7c-4567-aa03-52c556d824c7:CHAIR | JONATHAN ROBINSON | MD | gold | sync_canonical_entities | |
| fec | H2MD05056 | ROBINSON, JON WILLIAM | US | bronze | backfill_0028 |
News clips about this person
Mentioned in /ask threads
Canonical: https://pac.dog/persons/46f6251f-4c40-47e2-9c9f-ae95d68ff138