PHELAN, THOMAS H
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canonical Β· phelan/thomas Β· 3 aliases Β· 2 outbound Β· 0 inbound
FEC candidate β PHELAN, THOMAS H
R Β· house Β· challenger Β· FEC H2OR03022
Committees (0)
No committees on file.
Election prediction
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Independent expenditures for/against
Coordinated party expenditures
Committee assignments
Congressional staff (offices this person hires)
STOCK Act trades
Timeline
Every typed-graph event involving this entity, newest first. Each row is one edge in the influence graph; the inline strip under the row shows the counterpart's own context (a bill's latest action, a hearing's chamber + date, a filing's form type + filed date, a clip's source + excerpt) so the timeline reads like a Wikipedia citation rail.
- 2026-05-24 Β· joined committee Phelan for St. Mary's (chair) Β· md_committee_officer
- 2026-05-24 Β· joined committee Phelan, (Thomas) Friends of for Sheriff (chair) Β· md_committee_officer
Connected on the graph
2 typed relationships in the influence graph β 0 inbound, 2 outbound, grouped by type.
member of committee (2)
| date | dir | entity | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | β | Phelan for St. Mary's | β | CHAIR | md_committee_officer |
| β | β | Phelan, (Thomas) Friends of for Sheriff | β | CHAIR | md_committee_officer |
Aliases (3)
| source | id | name at source | jurisdiction | confidence | linked by | linked at |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| md_committee_officer | ceff2454-4de9-44ef-b490-a11475c10b84:CHAIR | Thomas Phelan | MD | gold | sync_canonical_entities | |
| md_committee_officer | 5bbc4242-bf7b-423f-8aa6-98a6bea5f178:CHAIR | THOMAS PHELAN | MD | gold | sync_canonical_entities | |
| fec | H2OR03022 | PHELAN, THOMAS H | US | bronze | backfill_0028 |
News clips about this person
Mentioned in /ask threads
Canonical: https://pac.dog/persons/d71fac54-9870-4c9a-94c2-1fe508f6fb53