ROBERTS, MICHAEL W
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canonical Β· roberts/michael Β· 4 aliases Β· 3 outbound Β· 0 inbound
FEC candidate β ROBERTS, MICHAEL W
R Β· house Β· open seat Β· FEC H4IN08066
Committees (0)
No committees on file.
Election prediction
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 20.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
| open seat | -5.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Independent expenditures for/against
Coordinated party expenditures
Committee assignments
Congressional staff (offices this person hires)
STOCK Act trades
Timeline
Every typed-graph event involving this entity, newest first. Each row is one edge in the influence graph; the inline strip under the row shows the counterpart's own context (a bill's latest action, a hearing's chamber + date, a filing's form type + filed date, a clip's source + excerpt) so the timeline reads like a Wikipedia citation rail.
- 2026-05-24 Β· joined committee Sierra Club Massachusetts Independent Expenditure Political Action Committee (treasurer) Β· ma_committee_officer
- 2026-05-24 Β· joined committee Pro-Pueblo Mass Independent Expenditure Political Action Committee (treasurer) Β· ma_committee_officer
- 2026-05-24 Β· joined committee FILTER, LIZ FOR QAC (chair) Β· md_committee_officer
Connected on the graph
3 typed relationships in the influence graph β 0 inbound, 3 outbound, grouped by type.
member of committee (3)
| date | dir | entity | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | β | Sierra Club Massachusetts Independent Expenditure Political Action Committee | β | TREASURER | ma_committee_officer |
| β | β | Pro-Pueblo Mass Independent Expenditure Political Action Committee | β | TREASURER | ma_committee_officer |
| β | β | FILTER, LIZ FOR QAC | β | CHAIR | md_committee_officer |
Aliases (4)
| source | id | name at source | jurisdiction | confidence | linked by | linked at |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ma_committee_officer | 81040:TREASURER | Michael Roberts | MA | gold | sync_canonical_entities | |
| ma_committee_officer | 81042:TREASURER | Michael Roberts | MA | gold | sync_canonical_entities | |
| md_committee_officer | bf07023c-599c-4b66-9ac7-a18d2ddaf0ba:CHAIR | Michael Roberts | MD | gold | sync_canonical_entities | |
| fec | H4IN08066 | ROBERTS, MICHAEL W | US | bronze | backfill_0028 |
News clips about this person
Mentioned in /ask threads
Canonical: https://pac.dog/persons/d6f2938d-30a3-49f5-ad40-6036a1609628