MUHAMMAD, ISMAAEEL A. MR
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canonical Β· muhammad/ismaaeel Β· 1 alias Β· 0 outbound Β· 0 inbound
FEC candidate β MUHAMMAD, ISMAAEEL A. MR
D Β· house Β· challenger Β· FEC H4MD12017
Elections (1)
- 2024 general house Β· MD-12 β running
Committees (0)
No committees on file.
Election prediction
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| D (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Independent expenditures for/against
Coordinated party expenditures
Committee assignments
Congressional staff (offices this person hires)
STOCK Act trades
Timeline
Aliases (1)
| source | id | name at source | jurisdiction | confidence | linked by | linked at |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| fec | H4MD12017 | MUHAMMAD, ISMAAEEL A. MR | US | bronze | backfill_0028 |
News clips about this person
Mentioned in /ask threads
Canonical: https://pac.dog/persons/aacbc62c-4b65-4fed-9996-1a16c67ad364