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ROSS, THOMAS ERNEST JR.

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canonical Β· ross/thomas/jr Β· 2 aliases Β· 2 outbound Β· 0 inbound

FEC candidate β€” ROSS, THOMAS ERNEST JR.

I Β· president Β· challenger Β· FEC P40015950

Elections (16)
  • 2024 general president Β· 2024-11-05 β€” running
  • 2024 general president Β· 2024-11-05 β€” lost_general
  • 2024 general president β€” running
  • 2024 general president β€” running
  • 2024 general president β€” running
  • 2024 general president β€” running
  • 2024 general president β€” running
  • 2024 general president β€” running
  • 2024 general president β€” running
  • 2024 general president β€” running
  • 2024 general president β€” running
  • 2024 general president β€” running
  • 2024 general president β€” running
  • 2024 general president β€” running
  • 2024 general president β€” running
  • 2024 general president β€” running
Committees (1)
Election prediction

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 15.1%

FeatureΞ” P(win)
Base rate (historical)15.1%

Baseline model (incumbency Γ— party Γ— office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Independent expenditures for/against
Coordinated party expenditures
Top individual donors β€” TOM ROSS '24
Committee assignments
Congressional staff (offices this person hires)
STOCK Act trades
Timeline

Every typed-graph event involving this entity, newest first. Each row is one edge in the influence graph; the inline strip under the row shows the counterpart's own context (a bill's latest action, a hearing's chamber + date, a filing's form type + filed date, a clip's source + excerpt) so the timeline reads like a Wikipedia citation rail.

  1. 2026-05-24 Β· joined committee Hollingsworth, Candace Friends of (chair) Β· md_committee_officer
  2. 2026-05-17 Β· is the candidate's principal committee TOM ROSS '24 Β· candidate_committees

Connected on the graph

2 typed relationships in the influence graph β€” 0 inbound, 2 outbound, grouped by type.

member of committee (1)
datedirentityamountrolesource
β€”β†’Hollingsworth, Candace Friends ofβ€”CHAIRmd_committee_officer
principal candidate of (1)
datedirentityamountrolesource
β€”β†’TOM ROSS '24β€”candidate_committees
Aliases (2)
sourceidname at sourcejurisdictionconfidencelinked bylinked at
md_committee_officerfc268444-2d65-4f36-89f3-b067416e68fd:CHAIRTHOMAS ROSSMDgoldsync_canonical_entities
fecP40015950ROSS, THOMAS ERNEST JR.USbronzebackfill_0028
News clips about this person
Mentioned in /ask threads

Canonical: https://pac.dog/persons/5e166499-09c4-45da-a091-d206b51172ca

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