RYAN, JAMES MICHAEL

canonical · ryan/james · 2 aliases · 0 outbound · 1 inbound

FEC candidate — RYAN, JAMES MICHAEL

R · senate · FEC S8AK00173

Elections (9)

2028 general senate · AK-S — running
2028 general senate · AK-S — running
2028 general senate · AK-S — running
2028 general senate · AK-S — running
2028 general senate · AK-S — running
2028 general senate · AK-S — running
2028 general senate · AK-S — running
2028 general senate · AK-S — running
2028 general senate · AK-S — running

Committees (0)

No committees on file.

Election prediction

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 23.1%

Feature	Δ P(win)
Base rate (historical)	15.1%
R (major party)	+10.0%
senate race	-2.0%

Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Independent expenditures for/against

Coordinated party expenditures

Committee assignments

Congressional staff (offices this person hires)

STOCK Act trades

Timeline

Every typed-graph event involving this entity, newest first. Each row is one edge in the influence graph; the inline strip under the row shows the counterpart's own context (a bill's latest action, a hearing's chamber + date, a filing's form type + filed date, a clip's source + excerpt) so the timeline reads like a Wikipedia citation rail.

2026-05-24 · principal committee is Ryan Committee · ma_filer

Connected on the graph

1 typed relationship in the influence graph — 1 inbound, 0 outbound, grouped by type.

principal candidate of (1)

date	dir	entity	amount	role	source
—	←	Ryan Committee	—		ma_filer

Aliases (2)

source	id	name at source	jurisdiction	confidence	linked by	linked at
ma_candidate	17608	James Ryan	MA	gold	sync_canonical_entities	2026-05-24
fec	S8AK00173	RYAN, JAMES MICHAEL	US	bronze	backfill_0028	2026-05-17

News clips about this person

Mentioned in /ask threads

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