DONOVAN, RICKY THOMAS SR
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canonical · donovan/richard/sr · 1 alias · 1 outbound · 2 inbound
FEC candidate — DONOVAN, RICKY THOMAS SR
R · house · challenger · FEC H0NY26084
Elections (1)
- 2020 general house · NY-26 — lost_general
Committees (1)
- FRIENDS OF RICKY DONOVAN — principal · type H
Election prediction
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Δ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Independent expenditures for/against
Coordinated party expenditures
Transfers from committees
Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).
| Date | From committee | Type | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-06-11 | PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTES | 24A | $8 |
Top individual donors — FRIENDS OF RICKY DONOVAN
Committee assignments
Congressional staff (offices this person hires)
STOCK Act trades
Timeline
Every typed-graph event involving this entity, newest first. Each row is one edge in the influence graph; the inline strip under the row shows the counterpart's own context (a bill's latest action, a hearing's chamber + date, a filing's form type + filed date, a clip's source + excerpt) so the timeline reads like a Wikipedia citation rail.
- 2026-05-17 · is the candidate's principal committee FRIENDS OF RICKY DONOVAN · candidate_committees
- 2021-06-11 · Committee contributed to candidate (pas2) PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTES $8 (24a) · fec_pas2
- 2021-06-11 · received contribution from PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTES $8 · pas2
Connected on the graph
3 typed relationships in the influence graph — 2 inbound, 1 outbound, grouped by type.
committee contributed to candidate (1)
| date | dir | entity | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-06-11 | ← | PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTES | $8 | 24A | fec_pas2 |
contributed to (1)
| date | dir | entity | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-06-11 | ← | PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTES | $8 | pas2 |
principal candidate of (1)
| date | dir | entity | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | → | FRIENDS OF RICKY DONOVAN | — | candidate_committees |
Aliases (1)
| source | id | name at source | jurisdiction | confidence | linked by | linked at |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| fec | H0NY26084 | DONOVAN, RICKY THOMAS SR | US | bronze | backfill_0028 |