SMITH, DANIEL B MR JR
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canonical · smith/daniel/jr · 3 aliases · 3 outbound · 0 inbound
FEC candidate — SMITH, DANIEL B MR JR
D · house · challenger · FEC H0PA16026
Cycle financials (1)
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $26,567 | $26,567 | $0 | $0 | $25,817 |
Elections (1)
- 2020 general house · PA-16 — lost_general
Committees (1)
- COMMITTEE TO ELECT DANIEL SMITH JR — principal · type H
Election prediction
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Δ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| D (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Independent expenditures for/against
Coordinated party expenditures
Top individual donors — COMMITTEE TO ELECT DANIEL SMITH JR
Committee assignments
Congressional staff (offices this person hires)
STOCK Act trades
Timeline
Every typed-graph event involving this entity, newest first. Each row is one edge in the influence graph; the inline strip under the row shows the counterpart's own context (a bill's latest action, a hearing's chamber + date, a filing's form type + filed date, a clip's source + excerpt) so the timeline reads like a Wikipedia citation rail.
- 2026-05-24 · joined committee Ramos Committee (treasurer) · ma_committee_officer
- 2026-05-24 · joined committee Smith, Catherine For School Board (chair) · md_committee_officer
- 2026-05-17 · is the candidate's principal committee COMMITTEE TO ELECT DANIEL SMITH JR · candidate_committees
Connected on the graph
3 typed relationships in the influence graph — 0 inbound, 3 outbound, grouped by type.
member of committee (2)
| date | dir | entity | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | → | Ramos Committee | — | TREASURER | ma_committee_officer |
| — | → | Smith, Catherine For School Board | — | CHAIR | md_committee_officer |
principal candidate of (1)
| date | dir | entity | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | → | COMMITTEE TO ELECT DANIEL SMITH JR | — | candidate_committees |
Aliases (3)
| source | id | name at source | jurisdiction | confidence | linked by | linked at |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ma_committee_officer | 16748:TREASURER | Daniel Smith | MA | gold | sync_canonical_entities | |
| md_committee_officer | 7911f9ac-065e-4af4-81ef-fa9f6992569f:CHAIR | Daniel Smith | MD | gold | sync_canonical_entities | |
| fec | H0PA16026 | SMITH, DANIEL B MR JR | US | bronze | backfill_0028 |