DAVIS, NATALIE M
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canonical · davis/natalie · 1 alias · 1 outbound · 0 inbound
FEC candidate — DAVIS, NATALIE M
D · senate · challenger · FEC S6AL00153
Cycle financials (4)
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2002 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $11,380 | $0 |
| 2000 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $11,380 | $0 |
| 1998 | $52 | $2,670 | $0 | $11,380 | $0 |
| 1996 | $752,364 | $750,313 | $2,618 | $13,927 | $708,335 |
Elections (6)
Committees (1)
- FRIENDS OF NATALIE DAVIS — principal · type S
Election prediction
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 23.1%
| Feature | Δ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| D (major party) | +10.0% |
| senate race | -2.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Independent expenditures for/against
Coordinated party expenditures
Top individual donors — FRIENDS OF NATALIE DAVIS
Committee assignments
Congressional staff (offices this person hires)
STOCK Act trades
Timeline
Every typed-graph event involving this entity, newest first. Each row is one edge in the influence graph; the inline strip under the row shows the counterpart's own context (a bill's latest action, a hearing's chamber + date, a filing's form type + filed date, a clip's source + excerpt) so the timeline reads like a Wikipedia citation rail.
- 2026-05-17 · is the candidate's principal committee FRIENDS OF NATALIE DAVIS · candidate_committees
Connected on the graph
1 typed relationship in the influence graph — 0 inbound, 1 outbound, grouped by type.
principal candidate of (1)
| date | dir | entity | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | → | FRIENDS OF NATALIE DAVIS | — | candidate_committees |
Aliases (1)
| source | id | name at source | jurisdiction | confidence | linked by | linked at |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| fec | S6AL00153 | DAVIS, NATALIE M | US | bronze | backfill_0028 |