MURPHY, MARK F
Sign in to add to a watchlist →
canonical · murphy/mark · 3 aliases · 1 outbound · 1 inbound
FEC candidate — MURPHY, MARK F
L · house · challenger · FEC H6CA45068
Elections (1)
- 1996 general house · CA-45 — lost_general
Committees (0)
No committees on file.
Election prediction
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 15.1%
| Feature | Δ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Independent expenditures for/against
Coordinated party expenditures
Committee assignments
Congressional staff (offices this person hires)
STOCK Act trades
Timeline
Every typed-graph event involving this entity, newest first. Each row is one edge in the influence graph; the inline strip under the row shows the counterpart's own context (a bill's latest action, a hearing's chamber + date, a filing's form type + filed date, a clip's source + excerpt) so the timeline reads like a Wikipedia citation rail.
- 2026-05-24 · principal committee is Murphy Committee · ma_filer
- 2026-05-24 · joined committee Murphy Committee (chair) · ma_committee_officer
Connected on the graph
2 typed relationships in the influence graph — 1 inbound, 1 outbound, grouped by type.
member of committee (1)
| date | dir | entity | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | → | Murphy Committee | — | CHAIR | ma_committee_officer |
principal candidate of (1)
| date | dir | entity | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | ← | Murphy Committee | — | ma_filer |
Aliases (3)
| source | id | name at source | jurisdiction | confidence | linked by | linked at |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ma_candidate | 17894 | Mark Murphy | MA | gold | sync_canonical_entities | |
| ma_committee_officer | 17894:CHAIR | Mark Murphy | MA | gold | sync_canonical_entities | |
| fec | H6CA45068 | MURPHY, MARK F | US | bronze | backfill_0028 |