BERRY, MICHAEL D.
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canonical · berry/michael · 4 aliases · 3 outbound · 0 inbound
FEC candidate — BERRY, MICHAEL D.
R · house · FEC H0CA18035
Elections (1)
- 1980 general house · CA-18 — lost_general
Committees (0)
No committees on file.
Election prediction
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Δ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Independent expenditures for/against
Coordinated party expenditures
Committee assignments
Congressional staff (offices this person hires)
STOCK Act trades
Timeline
Every typed-graph event involving this entity, newest first. Each row is one edge in the influence graph; the inline strip under the row shows the counterpart's own context (a bill's latest action, a hearing's chamber + date, a filing's form type + filed date, a clip's source + excerpt) so the timeline reads like a Wikipedia citation rail.
- 2026-05-24 · joined committee Murphy Committee (treasurer) · ma_committee_officer
- 2026-05-24 · joined committee Quincy Ward 1 DEMWC (chair) · ma_committee_officer
- 2026-05-24 · joined committee Quincy DEMCC (treasurer) · ma_committee_officer
Connected on the graph
3 typed relationships in the influence graph — 0 inbound, 3 outbound, grouped by type.
member of committee (3)
| date | dir | entity | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | → | Quincy Ward 1 DEMWC | — | CHAIR | ma_committee_officer |
| — | → | Murphy Committee | — | TREASURER | ma_committee_officer |
| — | → | Quincy DEMCC | — | TREASURER | ma_committee_officer |
Aliases (4)
| source | id | name at source | jurisdiction | confidence | linked by | linked at |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ma_committee_officer | 70454:CHAIR | Michael Berry | MA | gold | sync_canonical_entities | |
| ma_committee_officer | 16607:TREASURER | Michael Berry | MA | gold | sync_canonical_entities | |
| ma_committee_officer | 70453:TREASURER | Michael Berry | MA | gold | sync_canonical_entities | |
| fec | H0CA18035 | BERRY, MICHAEL D. | US | bronze | backfill_0028 |