MANDELL, PAUL
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canonical · mandell/paul · 3 aliases · 2 outbound · 0 inbound
FEC candidate — MANDELL, PAUL
D · house · challenger · FEC H2MN03047
Cycle financials (2)
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | $27 | $469 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| 1992 | $18,609 | $18,164 | $442 | $0 | $7,083 |
Elections (1)
- 1992 general house · MN-3 — lost_general
Committees (0)
No committees on file.
Election prediction
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Δ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| D (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Independent expenditures for/against
Coordinated party expenditures
Committee assignments
Congressional staff (offices this person hires)
STOCK Act trades
Timeline
Every typed-graph event involving this entity, newest first. Each row is one edge in the influence graph; the inline strip under the row shows the counterpart's own context (a bill's latest action, a hearing's chamber + date, a filing's form type + filed date, a clip's source + excerpt) so the timeline reads like a Wikipedia citation rail.
- 2026-05-24 · joined committee Mandell, Paul Personal Treasurer (chair) · md_committee_officer
- 2026-05-24 · joined committee Korman, Marc Friends of (chair) · md_committee_officer
Connected on the graph
2 typed relationships in the influence graph — 0 inbound, 2 outbound, grouped by type.
member of committee (2)
| date | dir | entity | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | → | Korman, Marc Friends of | — | CHAIR | md_committee_officer |
| — | → | Mandell, Paul Personal Treasurer | — | CHAIR | md_committee_officer |
Aliases (3)
| source | id | name at source | jurisdiction | confidence | linked by | linked at |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| md_committee_officer | 25b7062c-99ca-4d61-8766-ebd348f0f773:CHAIR | Paul Mandell | MD | gold | sync_canonical_entities | |
| md_committee_officer | f781036f-a5a9-4b97-ab68-1bb9a1c1096a:CHAIR | PAUL MANDELL | MD | gold | sync_canonical_entities | |
| fec | H2MN03047 | MANDELL, PAUL | US | bronze | backfill_0028 |