MITCHELL, JAMES CREIGHTON MR JR
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canonical · mitchell/james/jr · 2 aliases · 2 outbound · 0 inbound
FEC candidate — MITCHELL, JAMES CREIGHTON MR JR
R · president · open seat · FEC P60006012
Elections (8)
- 2016 general president — running
- 2016 general president — running
- 2016 general president — running
- 2016 general president — running
- 2016 general president — running
- 2016 general president — running
- 2016 general president — running
- 2016 general president — running
Committees (1)
- COMMITTEE-TO-ELECT-JAMES-C-MITCHELL-JR-PRESIDENT-16 — principal · type P
Election prediction
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 20.1%
| Feature | Δ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
| open seat | -5.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Independent expenditures for/against
Coordinated party expenditures
Top individual donors — COMMITTEE-TO-ELECT-JAMES-C-MITCHELL-JR-PRESIDENT-16
Committee assignments
Congressional staff (offices this person hires)
STOCK Act trades
Timeline
Every typed-graph event involving this entity, newest first. Each row is one edge in the influence graph; the inline strip under the row shows the counterpart's own context (a bill's latest action, a hearing's chamber + date, a filing's form type + filed date, a clip's source + excerpt) so the timeline reads like a Wikipedia citation rail.
- 2026-05-24 · joined committee Coles Jr., Charles M. Campaign to Elect (treasurer) · md_committee_officer
- 2026-05-17 · is the candidate's principal committee COMMITTEE-TO-ELECT-JAMES-C-MITCHELL-JR-PRESIDENT-16 · candidate_committees
Connected on the graph
2 typed relationships in the influence graph — 0 inbound, 2 outbound, grouped by type.
member of committee (1)
| date | dir | entity | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | → | Coles Jr., Charles M. Campaign to Elect | — | TREASURER | md_committee_officer |
principal candidate of (1)
| date | dir | entity | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | → | COMMITTEE-TO-ELECT-JAMES-C-MITCHELL-JR-PRESIDENT-16 | — | candidate_committees |
Aliases (2)
| source | id | name at source | jurisdiction | confidence | linked by | linked at |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| md_committee_officer | 24acbbe0-e89c-44b3-9179-d4cdcbc5a34c:TREASURER | JAMES MITCHELL | MD | gold | sync_canonical_entities | |
| fec | P60006012 | MITCHELL, JAMES CREIGHTON MR JR | US | bronze | backfill_0028 |