MITCHELL, JOHN ALLEN
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canonical · mitchell/john · 4 aliases · 2 outbound · 1 inbound
FEC candidate — MITCHELL, JOHN ALLEN
I · president · FEC P40001851
Elections (4)
- 1984 general president — running
- 1984 general president — running
- 1984 general president — running
- 1984 general president — running
Committees (0)
No committees on file.
Election prediction
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 15.1%
| Feature | Δ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Independent expenditures for/against
Coordinated party expenditures
Committee assignments
Congressional staff (offices this person hires)
STOCK Act trades
Timeline
Every typed-graph event involving this entity, newest first. Each row is one edge in the influence graph; the inline strip under the row shows the counterpart's own context (a bill's latest action, a hearing's chamber + date, a filing's form type + filed date, a clip's source + excerpt) so the timeline reads like a Wikipedia citation rail.
- 2026-05-24 · principal committee is Mitchell Committee · ma_filer
- 2026-05-24 · joined committee Mitchell, Margaret - Personal Treasurer Account (treasurer) · md_committee_officer
- 2026-05-24 · joined committee Mitchell, John T. Another Voter 4 (chair) · md_committee_officer
Connected on the graph
3 typed relationships in the influence graph — 1 inbound, 2 outbound, grouped by type.
member of committee (2)
| date | dir | entity | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | → | Mitchell, John T. Another Voter 4 | — | CHAIR | md_committee_officer |
| — | → | Mitchell, Margaret - Personal Treasurer Account | — | TREASURER | md_committee_officer |
principal candidate of (1)
| date | dir | entity | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | ← | Mitchell Committee | — | ma_filer |
Aliases (4)
| source | id | name at source | jurisdiction | confidence | linked by | linked at |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ma_candidate | 15065 | John Mitchell | MA | gold | sync_canonical_entities | |
| md_committee_officer | 18e4ca45-e892-4130-a48c-f552349c47a6:TREASURER | John Mitchell | MD | gold | sync_canonical_entities | |
| md_committee_officer | dd9972c3-9721-47c9-b6ca-b5c74415c150:CHAIR | JOHN MITCHELL | MD | gold | sync_canonical_entities | |
| fec | P40001851 | MITCHELL, JOHN ALLEN | US | bronze | backfill_0028 |