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CELESTE, THEODORE S

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canonical · celeste/theodore · 1 alias · 1 outbound · 0 inbound

FEC candidate — CELESTE, THEODORE S

D · senate · challenger · FEC S0OH00083

Cycle financials (3)

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

CycleRaisedSpentCash on handDebtsIndiv. contribs.
2004$0$10,229$0$0$0
2002$30,032$20,410$10,229$27,132$26,561
2000$477,784$477,176$608$42,206$357,014
Elections (5)
  • 2000 general senate · OH-Slost_general
  • 2000 general senate · OH-Slost_general
  • 2000 general senate · OH-Slost_general
  • 2000 general senate · OH-Srunning
  • 2000 general senate · OH-Srunning
Committees (1)
Election prediction

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 23.1%

FeatureΔ P(win)
Base rate (historical)15.1%
D (major party)+10.0%
senate race-2.0%

Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Independent expenditures for/against
Coordinated party expenditures
Top individual donors — CELESTE 2000.COM
Committee assignments
Congressional staff (offices this person hires)
STOCK Act trades
Timeline

Every typed-graph event involving this entity, newest first. Each row is one edge in the influence graph; the inline strip under the row shows the counterpart's own context (a bill's latest action, a hearing's chamber + date, a filing's form type + filed date, a clip's source + excerpt) so the timeline reads like a Wikipedia citation rail.

  1. 2026-05-17 · is the candidate's principal committee CELESTE 2000.COM · candidate_committees

Connected on the graph

1 typed relationship in the influence graph — 0 inbound, 1 outbound, grouped by type.

principal candidate of (1)
datedirentityamountrolesource
CELESTE 2000.COMcandidate_committees
Aliases (1)
sourceidname at sourcejurisdictionconfidencelinked bylinked at
fecS0OH00083CELESTE, THEODORE SUSbronzebackfill_0028
News clips about this person
Mentioned in /ask threads

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