JOHNSON, ASHLEY NICOLE
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canonical · johnson/ashley · 4 aliases · 3 outbound · 0 inbound
FEC candidate — JOHNSON, ASHLEY NICOLE
OTHER · president · open seat · FEC P60022779
Elections (7)
- 2016 general president — running
- 2016 general president — running
- 2016 general president — running
- 2016 general president — running
- 2016 general president — running
- 2016 general president — running
- 2016 general president — running
Committees (0)
No committees on file.
Election prediction
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 10.1%
| Feature | Δ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| open seat | -5.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Independent expenditures for/against
Coordinated party expenditures
Committee assignments
Congressional staff (offices this person hires)
STOCK Act trades
Timeline
Every typed-graph event involving this entity, newest first. Each row is one edge in the influence graph; the inline strip under the row shows the counterpart's own context (a bill's latest action, a hearing's chamber + date, a filing's form type + filed date, a clip's source + excerpt) so the timeline reads like a Wikipedia citation rail.
- 2026-05-24 · joined committee Wiles Jr, Paul Edward Friends of (treasurer) · md_committee_officer
- 2026-05-24 · joined committee Johnson, Steven T. Committee for (treasurer) · md_committee_officer
- 2026-05-24 · joined committee Johnson, Steven T. Friends of (treasurer) · md_committee_officer
Connected on the graph
3 typed relationships in the influence graph — 0 inbound, 3 outbound, grouped by type.
member of committee (3)
| date | dir | entity | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | → | Johnson, Steven T. Committee for | — | TREASURER | md_committee_officer |
| — | → | Johnson, Steven T. Friends of | — | TREASURER | md_committee_officer |
| — | → | Wiles Jr, Paul Edward Friends of | — | TREASURER | md_committee_officer |
Aliases (4)
| source | id | name at source | jurisdiction | confidence | linked by | linked at |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| md_committee_officer | 028be53d-7f1a-47b6-b966-6ac0e82000fa:TREASURER | ASHLEY JOHNSON | MD | gold | sync_canonical_entities | |
| md_committee_officer | 5a5dd099-e7e2-4e51-91dc-ad88b140f430:TREASURER | ASHLEY JOHNSON | MD | gold | sync_canonical_entities | |
| md_committee_officer | 44912386-7e25-4cfe-8dcc-4d59cd443cb3:TREASURER | ASHLEY JOHNSON | MD | gold | sync_canonical_entities | |
| fec | P60022779 | JOHNSON, ASHLEY NICOLE | US | bronze | backfill_0028 |