HILL, RYAN
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canonical · hill/ryan · 4 aliases · 4 outbound · 0 inbound
FEC candidate — HILL, RYAN
D · house · open seat · FEC H8MI13300
Cycle financials (1)
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | $526 | $373 | $153 | $0 | $70 |
Elections (1)
- 2018 general house · MI-13 — lost_general
Committees (1)
- RYAN HILL FOR CAPITOL HILL — principal · type H
Election prediction
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 20.1%
| Feature | Δ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| D (major party) | +10.0% |
| open seat | -5.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Independent expenditures for/against
Coordinated party expenditures
Top individual donors — RYAN HILL FOR CAPITOL HILL
Committee assignments
Congressional staff (offices this person hires)
STOCK Act trades
Timeline
Every typed-graph event involving this entity, newest first. Each row is one edge in the influence graph; the inline strip under the row shows the counterpart's own context (a bill's latest action, a hearing's chamber + date, a filing's form type + filed date, a clip's source + excerpt) so the timeline reads like a Wikipedia citation rail.
- 2026-05-24 · joined committee Gray, Paris Friends of (treasurer) · md_committee_officer
- 2026-05-24 · joined committee Stinnett, Sean A. The Committee to Elect (treasurer) · md_committee_officer
- 2026-05-24 · joined committee Esposito, Ashley Friends of (treasurer) · md_committee_officer
- 2026-05-17 · is the candidate's principal committee RYAN HILL FOR CAPITOL HILL · candidate_committees
Connected on the graph
4 typed relationships in the influence graph — 0 inbound, 4 outbound, grouped by type.
member of committee (3)
| date | dir | entity | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | → | Esposito, Ashley Friends of | — | TREASURER | md_committee_officer |
| — | → | Gray, Paris Friends of | — | TREASURER | md_committee_officer |
| — | → | Stinnett, Sean A. The Committee to Elect | — | TREASURER | md_committee_officer |
principal candidate of (1)
| date | dir | entity | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | → | RYAN HILL FOR CAPITOL HILL | — | candidate_committees |
Aliases (4)
| source | id | name at source | jurisdiction | confidence | linked by | linked at |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| md_committee_officer | ddf0cad5-8e0d-4072-9bb8-b94954928852:TREASURER | RYAN HILL | MD | gold | sync_canonical_entities | |
| md_committee_officer | 7448649a-0fc4-4d61-81a0-6ef2747431c4:TREASURER | Ryan Hill | MD | gold | sync_canonical_entities | |
| md_committee_officer | 369aaf20-3fbe-4494-91a6-4bd329c50a4e:TREASURER | Ryan Hill | MD | gold | sync_canonical_entities | |
| fec | H8MI13300 | HILL, RYAN | US | bronze | backfill_0028 |