SHEPARD, TAZEWELL
D Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H0AL05189- Internal id
2765daa6-de7a-450a-a786-9320934dc3a8- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), AL-05. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 745,693 |
| People | Median age | 40 |
| Income | Median household income | $77,752 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $42,792 |
| Income | In poverty | 11.3% |
| Income | Unemployed | 3.5% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.462 |
| Race | White alone | 69.5% |
| Race | Black alone | 17.8% |
| Race | Asian alone | 1.8% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 7.0% |
| Race | Two or more races | 7.3% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 5.0% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 92.9% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 4.5% |
| Education | High school or higher | 60.9% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 36.1% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 14.3% |
| Household | Family households | 64.5% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.45 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 29.8% |
| Housing | Median home value | $257,700 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,083 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 72.4% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 1.9% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 1.4% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 8.6% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 9.6% |
| Health | With a disability | 15.5% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 89.5% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 7.5% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 78.6% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.1% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 12.0% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| 2012 | $677 | $0 | $0 | $531,666 | $0 |
| 2010 | $390,067 | $390,744 | $-677 | $530,989 | $94,267 |
Elections
- 2010 general house Β· AL-5 β lost_general
Committees
- SHEPARD FOR CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| D (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | SHEPARD FOR CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees |