DENHAM, JEFF

R · house · bioguide D000612

FEC candidate id: H0CA19173
Internal id: b0939f4e-aedb-4a02-8f3b-b0550d4cb177
Status: challenger

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here — American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), CA-10. Source.

Category	Metric	Value
People	Population	760,299
People	Median age	41
Income	Median household income	$153,525
Income	Per-capita income	$75,555
Income	In poverty	6.3%
Income	Unemployed	5.5%
Income	Gini inequality index	0.464
Race	White alone	48.9%
Race	Black alone	5.2%
Race	Asian alone	22.9%
Race	Hispanic or Latino	18.4%
Race	Two or more races	14.8%
Origin	Foreign-born	24.7%
Language	Speaks English only at home	67.5%
Language	Speaks Spanish at home	10.8%
Education	High school or higher	69.8%
Education	Bachelor's or higher	55.6%
Education	Advanced degree	22.8%
Household	Family households	72.3%
Household	Avg household size	2.72
Household	Never married (15+)	29.0%
Housing	Median home value	$1,029,400
Housing	Median gross rent	$2,658
Housing	Single-family detached	67.0%
Housing	Built before 1940	3.6%
Housing	Overcrowded (>1 per room)	3.6%
Housing	Vacant units	3.1%
Service	Veterans (18+)	4.4%
Health	With a disability	10.0%
Connectivity	Households with broadband	96.8%
Connectivity	Households with no internet	2.0%
Commute	Drove alone	57.1%
Commute	Public transit	4.7%
Commute	Worked from home	26.8%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

Cycle	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand	Debts	Indiv. contribs.
2026	$0	$34,788	$59,705	$0	$0
2024	$35	$83,087	$94,493	$0	$0
2022	$4,504	$78,163	$177,545	$0	$0
2020	$50,131	$103,993	$251,208	$0	$2,634
2018	$4,911,909	$4,932,044	$306,567	$1,530	$1,779,274
2016	$3,345,327	$4,183,055	$326,702	$4,847	$1,075,103
2014	$2,762,284	$1,753,321	$1,164,430	$3,058	$990,180
2012	$2,756,589	$2,647,698	$155,472	$5,711	$1,284,764
2010	$1,256,670	$1,210,088	$46,581	$53,500	$725,890

Elections

2010 general house · CA-10 — running
2010 general house · CA-19 — won
2012 general house · CA-10 — won
2014 general house · CA-10 — won
2016 general house · CA-10 — won
2018 general house · CA-10 — lost_general
2020 general house · CA-10 — lost_general
2022 general house · CA-10 — lost_general

Committees

(FRESHMAN HOLD'EM JFC) FRESHMAN HOLD'EM, STUTZMAN FOR CONGRESS, TOM REED FOR CONGRESS, DENHAM FOR CONGRESS, BENISHEK FOR CONGRESS, INC., RODNEY FOR CONGRESS, DUFFY FOR CONGRES, CHRIS GIBSON FOR... — joint_fundraising · type N
AMERICA'S NEW MAJORITY — joint_fundraising · type N
CALIFORNIA RETENTION FUND — joint_fundraising · type N
DENHAM FOR CONGRESS — principal · type H
DENHAM VICTORY FUND — joint_fundraising · type N
PATRIOT DAY I — joint_fundraising · type H
PATRIOT DAY II 2011 — joint_fundraising · type H
RCP VICTORY FUND REVITALIZING CALIFORNIA PROSPERITY — joint_fundraising · type H
SECURITY FOR AMERICA FUND III — joint_fundraising · type H

Recent votes

No votes on file.

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 25.1%

Feature	Δ P(win)
Base rate (historical)	15.1%
R (major party)	+10.0%

Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

Date	From committee	Type	Amount
2026-03-31	AMODEI FOR NEVADA	24K	$-300
2022-05-31	THE FARM CREDIT COUNCIL POLITICAL ACTION COMMIT…	24K	$-1,000

Connected on the graph

Inbound (2)

date	from	type	amount	role	source
2026-03-31	AMODEI FOR NEVADA	contributed_to	$-300		pas2
2022-05-31	THE FARM CREDIT COUNCIL POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$-1,000		pas2

Outbound (9)

date	type	to	amount	source
—	joint_fundraising_committee_of	(FRESHMAN HOLD'EM JFC) FRESHMAN HOLD'EM, STUTZMAN FOR CONGRESS, TOM REED FOR CONGRESS, DENHAM FOR CONGRESS, BENISHEK FOR CONGRESS, INC., RODNEY FOR CONGRESS, DUFFY FOR CONGRES, CHRIS GIBSON FOR...	—	candidate_committees
—	joint_fundraising_committee_of	PATRIOT DAY II 2011	—	candidate_committees
—	joint_fundraising_committee_of	SECURITY FOR AMERICA FUND III	—	candidate_committees
—	joint_fundraising_committee_of	RCP VICTORY FUND REVITALIZING CALIFORNIA PROSPERITY	—	candidate_committees
—	joint_fundraising_committee_of	CALIFORNIA RETENTION FUND	—	candidate_committees
—	joint_fundraising_committee_of	AMERICA'S NEW MAJORITY	—	candidate_committees
—	joint_fundraising_committee_of	PATRIOT DAY I	—	candidate_committees
—	joint_fundraising_committee_of	DENHAM VICTORY FUND	—	candidate_committees
—	principal_candidate_of	DENHAM FOR CONGRESS	—	candidate_committees

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