GORMAN, JEFF
R Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H0CA20122- Internal id
0f6e7349-3790-4675-82f0-f1ac5b068af8- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), CA-19. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 745,177 |
| People | Median age | 42 |
| Income | Median household income | $126,610 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $64,916 |
| Income | In poverty | 8.6% |
| Income | Unemployed | 5.2% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.477 |
| Race | White alone | 51.8% |
| Race | Black alone | 2.0% |
| Race | Asian alone | 19.5% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 25.0% |
| Race | Two or more races | 15.9% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 23.3% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 64.8% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 15.6% |
| Education | High school or higher | 62.5% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 47.9% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 20.5% |
| Household | Family households | 68.3% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.68 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 34.5% |
| Housing | Median home value | $1,106,200 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $2,424 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 67.6% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 4.0% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 5.0% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 9.2% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 4.7% |
| Health | With a disability | 11.1% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 95.3% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 2.8% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 64.5% |
| Commute | Public transit | 1.5% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 19.9% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | $250 | $2,776 | $0 | $0 | $250 |
| 2022 | $58,794 | $58,955 | $2,526 | $0 | $48,044 |
| 2020 | $67,734 | $65,047 | $2,687 | $0 | $66,634 |
Elections
- 2020 general house Β· CA-20 β lost_general
- 2022 general house Β· CA-19 β lost_general
- 2024 general house Β· CA-19 β lost_general
Committees
- JEFF GORMAN FOR CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Transfers from committees
Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).
| Date | From committee | Type | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-10-11 | MAKE AMERICA FIRST PAC | 24K | $2,300 |
| 2022-08-12 | HUCK PAC FOR AMERICA | 24K | $5,000 |
| 2022-04-25 | REPUBLICAN PARTY OF SAN LUIS OBISPO COUNTY | 24Z | $1,102 |
| 2021-05-19 | PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTES | 24A | $8 |
Connected on the graph
Inbound (4)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-10-11 | MAKE AMERICA FIRST PAC | contributed_to | $2,300 | pas2 | |
| 2022-08-12 | HUCK PAC FOR AMERICA | contributed_to | $5,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-25 | REPUBLICAN PARTY OF SAN LUIS OBISPO COUNTY | contributed_to | $1,102 | pas2 | |
| 2021-05-19 | PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTES | contributed_to | $8 | pas2 |
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | JEFF GORMAN FOR CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees |