ZERG, JEROME
R Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H0CA24041- Internal id
423c4e09-2143-47dd-b584-6dc487ad4b22- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), CA-24. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 757,747 |
| People | Median age | 37 |
| Income | Median household income | $97,920 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $49,119 |
| Income | In poverty | 13.9% |
| Income | Unemployed | 5.9% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.481 |
| Race | White alone | 56.1% |
| Race | Black alone | 1.5% |
| Race | Asian alone | 5.0% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 39.6% |
| Race | Two or more races | 23.7% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 17.6% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 68.2% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 25.5% |
| Education | High school or higher | 56.3% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 39.2% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 15.9% |
| Household | Family households | 63.0% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.64 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 39.9% |
| Housing | Median home value | $836,800 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $2,110 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 58.5% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 3.9% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 7.1% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 8.4% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 5.3% |
| Health | With a disability | 12.2% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 92.8% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 4.6% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 66.8% |
| Commute | Public transit | 1.7% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 14.6% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1986 | $1,382 | $2,601 | $0 | $71,872 | $0 |
| 1984 | $134,611 | $133,765 | $1,219 | $74,153 | $59,375 |
| 1982 | $114,110 | $113,841 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| 1980 | $4,627 | $9,088 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
Elections
- 1980 general house Β· CA-24 β lost_general
- 1982 general house Β· CA-24 β lost_general
- 1984 general house Β· CA-24 β lost_general
Committees
No committees on file.
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.