RUIZ, RAUL

R · house

FEC candidate id: H0CA36177
Internal id: ec542031-fd2c-43c8-81b2-fe4197097e2b
Status: challenger

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here — American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), CA-36. Source.

Category	Metric	Value
People	Population	738,907
People	Median age	40
Income	Median household income	$130,594
Income	Per-capita income	$84,817
Income	In poverty	8.9%
Income	Unemployed	6.6%
Income	Gini inequality index	0.512
Race	White alone	55.8%
Race	Black alone	4.2%
Race	Asian alone	18.6%
Race	Hispanic or Latino	16.6%
Race	Two or more races	14.5%
Origin	Foreign-born	23.8%
Language	Speaks English only at home	68.1%
Language	Speaks Spanish at home	10.7%
Education	High school or higher	76.6%
Education	Bachelor's or higher	67.0%
Education	Advanced degree	28.4%
Household	Family households	52.4%
Household	Avg household size	2.22
Household	Never married (15+)	40.4%
Housing	Median home value	$1,538,700
Housing	Median gross rent	$2,600
Housing	Single-family detached	38.2%
Housing	Built before 1940	8.5%
Housing	Overcrowded (>1 per room)	3.4%
Housing	Vacant units	10.7%
Service	Veterans (18+)	3.0%
Health	With a disability	8.9%
Connectivity	Households with broadband	95.4%
Connectivity	Households with no internet	2.9%
Commute	Drove alone	54.7%
Commute	Public transit	1.8%
Commute	Worked from home	32.1%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

Cycle	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand	Debts	Indiv. contribs.
2020	$14,044	$6,244	$7,801	$38,458	$12,039

Elections

2020 general house · CA-36 — lost_general

Committees

RAUL RUIZ FOR CONGRESS — principal · type H

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 25.1%

Feature	Δ P(win)
Base rate (historical)	15.1%
R (major party)	+10.0%

Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

Date	From committee	Type	Amount
2025-11-24	SOUTHERN MINNESOTA BEET SUGAR COOPERATIVE POLIT…	24K	$2,000
2025-09-20	ZIMMER BIOMET HOLDINGS, INC. POLITICAL ACTION C…	24K	$1,000
2022-10-04	SOUTHERN MINNESOTA BEET SUGAR COOPERATIVE POLIT…	24K	$1,000
2022-09-26	YUKON KUSKO POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE INC	24K	$1,250
2022-09-22	COURAGE CALIFORNIA SUPER PAC	24E	$3
2022-08-25	COURAGE CALIFORNIA SUPER PAC	24E	$12
2022-07-21	COURAGE CALIFORNIA SUPER PAC	24E	$7
2022-07-07	COURAGE CALIFORNIA SUPER PAC	24E	$1
2022-07-05	ASSOCIATION OF AIR MEDICAL SERVICES POLITICAL A…	24K	$1,000
2022-05-02	MCGUIREWOODS FEDERAL PAC	24K	$1,000
2021-11-02	MCGUIREWOODS FEDERAL PAC	24K	$1,000
2021-10-20	1-800 CONTACTS, INC. PAC	24K	$2,500
2021-06-29	WALMART INC. PAC FOR RESPONSIBLE GOVERNMENT	24K	$1,000
2021-06-08	CRH AMERICAS, INC. PAC	24K	$2,500
2021-03-22	BERKSHIRE HATHAWAY ENERGY COMPANY PAC	24K	$5,000

Connected on the graph

Inbound (30)

date	from	type	amount	role	source
2025-11-24	SOUTHERN MINNESOTA BEET SUGAR COOPERATIVE POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$2,000		pas2
2025-11-24	SOUTHERN MINNESOTA BEET SUGAR COOPERATIVE POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$2,000	24K	fec_pas2
2025-09-20	ZIMMER BIOMET HOLDINGS, INC. POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (A.K.A. 'ZIMMER BIOMET PAC')	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$1,000	24K	fec_pas2
2025-09-20	ZIMMER BIOMET HOLDINGS, INC. POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (A.K.A. 'ZIMMER BIOMET PAC')	contributed_to	$1,000		pas2
2022-10-04	SOUTHERN MINNESOTA BEET SUGAR COOPERATIVE POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$1,000	24K	fec_pas2
2022-10-04	SOUTHERN MINNESOTA BEET SUGAR COOPERATIVE POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$1,000		pas2
2022-09-26	YUKON KUSKO POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE INC	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$1,250	24K	fec_pas2
2022-09-26	YUKON KUSKO POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE INC	contributed_to	$1,250		pas2
2022-09-22	COURAGE CALIFORNIA SUPER PAC	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$3	24E	fec_pas2
2022-09-22	COURAGE CALIFORNIA SUPER PAC	contributed_to	$3		pas2
2022-08-25	COURAGE CALIFORNIA SUPER PAC	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$12	24E	fec_pas2
2022-08-25	COURAGE CALIFORNIA SUPER PAC	contributed_to	$12		pas2
2022-07-21	COURAGE CALIFORNIA SUPER PAC	contributed_to	$7		pas2
2022-07-21	COURAGE CALIFORNIA SUPER PAC	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$7	24E	fec_pas2
2022-07-07	COURAGE CALIFORNIA SUPER PAC	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$1	24E	fec_pas2
2022-07-07	COURAGE CALIFORNIA SUPER PAC	contributed_to	$1		pas2
2022-07-05	ASSOCIATION OF AIR MEDICAL SERVICES POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$1,000		pas2
2022-07-05	ASSOCIATION OF AIR MEDICAL SERVICES POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$1,000	24K	fec_pas2
2022-05-02	MCGUIREWOODS FEDERAL PAC	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$1,000	24K	fec_pas2
2022-05-02	MCGUIREWOODS FEDERAL PAC	contributed_to	$1,000		pas2
2021-11-02	MCGUIREWOODS FEDERAL PAC	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$1,000	24K	fec_pas2
2021-11-02	MCGUIREWOODS FEDERAL PAC	contributed_to	$1,000		pas2
2021-10-20	1-800 CONTACTS, INC. PAC	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$2,500	24K	fec_pas2
2021-10-20	1-800 CONTACTS, INC. PAC	contributed_to	$2,500		pas2
2021-06-29	WALMART INC. PAC FOR RESPONSIBLE GOVERNMENT	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$1,000	24K	fec_pas2
2021-06-29	WALMART INC. PAC FOR RESPONSIBLE GOVERNMENT	contributed_to	$1,000		pas2
2021-06-08	CRH AMERICAS, INC. PAC	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$2,500	24K	fec_pas2
2021-06-08	CRH AMERICAS, INC. PAC	contributed_to	$2,500		pas2
2021-03-22	BERKSHIRE HATHAWAY ENERGY COMPANY PAC	contributed_to	$5,000		pas2
2021-03-22	BERKSHIRE HATHAWAY ENERGY COMPANY PAC	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$5,000	24K	fec_pas2

Outbound (1)

date	type	to	amount	role	source
—	principal_candidate_of	RAUL RUIZ FOR CONGRESS	—		candidate_committees

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