COLLINS, JOE E III
R Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H0CA43108- Internal id
c1a951d4-fc4c-4981-9da2-9a5fcf8f8a37- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), CA-36. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 738,907 |
| People | Median age | 40 |
| Income | Median household income | $130,594 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $84,817 |
| Income | In poverty | 8.9% |
| Income | Unemployed | 6.6% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.512 |
| Race | White alone | 55.8% |
| Race | Black alone | 4.2% |
| Race | Asian alone | 18.6% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 16.6% |
| Race | Two or more races | 14.5% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 23.8% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 68.1% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 10.7% |
| Education | High school or higher | 76.6% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 67.0% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 28.4% |
| Household | Family households | 52.4% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.22 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 40.4% |
| Housing | Median home value | $1,538,700 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $2,600 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 38.2% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 8.5% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 3.4% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 10.7% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 3.0% |
| Health | With a disability | 8.9% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 95.4% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 2.9% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 54.7% |
| Commute | Public transit | 1.8% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 32.1% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | $19,810 | $45,295 | $0 | $0 | $15,780 |
| 2022 | $2,532,159 | $3,142,197 | $25,485 | $69,726 | $2,424,269 |
| 2020 | $10,620,816 | $9,985,293 | $635,523 | $0 | $10,372,434 |
Elections
- 2020 general house Β· CA-36 β running
- 2020 general house Β· CA-43 β lost_general
- 2022 general house Β· CA-36 β lost_general
Committees
- COLLINS FOR CA-36 REPUBLICAN NOMINEE FUND 2022 β principal Β· type H
- JOE COLLINS FOR CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Transfers from committees
Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).
| Date | From committee | Type | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-10-14 | WINRED | 24K | $-50 |
| 2022-10-14 | WINRED | 24K | $-50 |
| 2022-08-26 | BLACK AMERICA'S POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE | 24K | $1,000 |
| 2022-08-12 | HUCK PAC FOR AMERICA | 24K | $5,000 |
| 2022-08-04 | WINRED | 24K | $-25 |
| 2022-06-24 | WINRED | 24K | $-15 |
| 2022-05-24 | WINRED | 24K | $-2 |
| 2022-05-24 | WINRED | 24K | $-17 |
| 2022-05-10 | WINRED | 24K | $-17 |
| 2022-03-31 | ELBERT GUILLORY'S AMERICA | 24K | $2,500 |
| 2022-03-03 | WINRED | 24K | $-29 |
| 2022-02-04 | WINRED | 24K | $-25 |
| 2022-02-03 | WINRED | 24K | $-100 |
| 2022-01-21 | WINRED | 24K | $-5 |
| 2022-01-21 | WINRED | 24K | $-25 |
| 2022-01-14 | WINRED | 24K | $-35 |
| 2022-01-14 | WINRED | 24K | $-35 |
| 2022-01-14 | WINRED | 24K | $-35 |
| 2022-01-09 | WINRED | 24K | $-50 |
| 2022-01-04 | WINRED | 24K | $-25 |
| 2021-12-22 | WINRED | 24K | $-25 |
| 2021-12-07 | WINRED | 24K | $-1 |
| 2021-12-07 | WINRED | 24K | $-1 |
| 2021-12-06 | WINRED | 24K | $-15 |
| 2021-11-12 | WINRED | 24K | $-5 |
Connected on the graph
Inbound (100)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-10-14 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-50 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-14 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-50 | pas2 | |
| 2022-08-26 | BLACK AMERICA'S POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-08-12 | HUCK PAC FOR AMERICA | contributed_to | $5,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-08-04 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-25 | pas2 | |
| 2022-06-24 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-15 | pas2 | |
| 2022-05-24 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-17 | pas2 | |
| 2022-05-24 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-2 | pas2 | |
| 2022-05-10 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-17 | pas2 | |
| 2022-03-31 | ELBERT GUILLORY'S AMERICA | contributed_to | $2,500 | pas2 | |
| 2022-03-03 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-29 | pas2 | |
| 2022-02-04 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-25 | pas2 | |
| 2022-02-03 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-100 | pas2 | |
| 2022-01-21 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-25 | pas2 | |
| 2022-01-21 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-5 | pas2 | |
| 2022-01-14 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-35 | pas2 | |
| 2022-01-14 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-35 | pas2 | |
| 2022-01-14 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-35 | pas2 | |
| 2022-01-09 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-50 | pas2 | |
| 2022-01-04 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-25 | pas2 | |
| 2021-12-22 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-25 | pas2 | |
| 2021-12-07 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-1 | pas2 | |
| 2021-12-07 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-1 | pas2 | |
| 2021-12-06 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-15 | pas2 | |
| 2021-11-12 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-5 | pas2 | |
| 2021-10-29 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-10 | pas2 | |
| 2021-10-19 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-5 | pas2 | |
| 2021-10-19 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-30 | pas2 | |
| 2021-10-19 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-30 | pas2 | |
| 2021-10-19 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-5 | pas2 | |
| 2021-10-14 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-30 | pas2 | |
| 2021-10-10 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-30 | pas2 | |
| 2021-10-10 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-30 | pas2 | |
| 2021-08-20 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-50 | pas2 | |
| 2021-08-16 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-50 | pas2 | |
| 2021-08-14 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-25 | pas2 | |
| 2021-08-14 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-29 | pas2 | |
| 2021-08-14 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-29 | pas2 | |
| 2021-08-11 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-30 | pas2 | |
| 2021-07-06 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-25 | pas2 | |
| 2021-06-22 | WINRED | contributed_to | $25 | pas2 | |
| 2021-06-16 | WINRED | contributed_to | $50 | pas2 | |
| 2021-06-16 | WINRED | contributed_to | $20 | pas2 | |
| 2021-06-14 | WINRED | contributed_to | $25 | pas2 | |
| 2021-06-06 | WINRED | contributed_to | $10 | pas2 | |
| 2021-05-31 | WINRED | contributed_to | $10 | pas2 | |
| 2021-05-31 | WINRED | contributed_to | $30 | pas2 | |
| 2021-05-28 | WINRED | contributed_to | $25 | pas2 | |
| 2021-05-28 | WINRED | contributed_to | $50 | pas2 | |
| 2021-05-24 | WINRED | contributed_to | $100 | pas2 | |
| 2021-05-21 | WINRED | contributed_to | $100 | pas2 | |
| 2021-05-20 | WINRED | contributed_to | $25 | pas2 | |
| 2021-05-20 | WINRED | contributed_to | $100 | pas2 | |
| 2021-05-19 | PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTES | contributed_to | $8 | pas2 | |
| 2021-05-18 | WINRED | contributed_to | $0 | pas2 | |
| 2021-05-14 | WINRED | contributed_to | $50 | pas2 | |
| 2021-05-08 | WINRED | contributed_to | $50 | pas2 | |
| 2021-05-05 | WINRED | contributed_to | $25 | pas2 | |
| 2021-05-04 | WINRED | contributed_to | $25 | pas2 | |
| 2021-05-03 | WINRED | contributed_to | $17 | pas2 | |
| 2021-05-03 | WINRED | contributed_to | $15 | pas2 | |
| 2021-05-01 | WINRED | contributed_to | $17 | pas2 | |
| 2021-04-29 | WINRED | contributed_to | $100 | pas2 | |
| 2021-04-29 | WINRED | contributed_to | $100 | pas2 | |
| 2021-04-27 | WINRED | contributed_to | $75 | pas2 | |
| 2021-04-27 | WINRED | contributed_to | $50 | pas2 | |
| 2021-04-27 | WINRED | contributed_to | $50 | pas2 | |
| 2021-04-27 | WINRED | contributed_to | $50 | pas2 | |
| 2021-04-27 | BLACK AMERICA'S POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE | contributed_to | $2,200 | pas2 | |
| 2021-04-27 | WINRED | contributed_to | $100 | pas2 | |
| 2021-04-26 | WINRED | contributed_to | $100 | pas2 | |
| 2021-04-26 | WINRED | contributed_to | $100 | pas2 | |
| 2021-04-26 | WINRED | contributed_to | $500 | pas2 | |
| 2021-04-26 | WINRED | contributed_to | $100 | pas2 | |
| 2021-04-24 | WINRED | contributed_to | $1 | pas2 | |
| 2021-04-24 | WINRED | contributed_to | $5 | pas2 | |
| 2021-04-24 | WINRED | contributed_to | $1 | pas2 | |
| 2021-04-24 | WINRED | contributed_to | $1 | pas2 | |
| 2021-04-23 | WINRED | contributed_to | $25 | pas2 | |
| 2021-04-22 | WINRED | contributed_to | $25 | pas2 | |
| 2021-04-21 | BLACK AMERICA'S POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE | contributed_to | $2,800 | pas2 | |
| 2021-04-20 | WINRED | contributed_to | $50 | pas2 | |
| 2021-04-20 | WINRED | contributed_to | $50 | pas2 | |
| 2021-04-19 | WINRED | contributed_to | $45 | pas2 | |
| 2021-04-17 | WINRED | contributed_to | $25 | pas2 | |
| 2021-04-14 | WINRED | contributed_to | $25 | pas2 | |
| 2021-04-14 | WINRED | contributed_to | $50 | pas2 | |
| 2021-04-14 | WINRED | contributed_to | $25 | pas2 | |
| 2021-04-08 | WINRED | contributed_to | $29 | pas2 | |
| 2021-04-08 | WINRED | contributed_to | $20 | pas2 | |
| 2021-04-07 | WINRED | contributed_to | $25 | pas2 | |
| 2021-04-05 | WINRED | contributed_to | $29 | pas2 | |
| 2021-04-05 | WINRED | contributed_to | $15 | pas2 | |
| 2021-04-04 | WINRED | contributed_to | $17 | pas2 | |
| 2021-03-30 | WINRED | contributed_to | $29 | pas2 | |
| 2021-03-30 | WINRED | contributed_to | $50 | pas2 | |
| 2021-03-27 | WINRED | contributed_to | $10 | pas2 | |
| 2021-03-27 | WINRED | contributed_to | $25 | pas2 | |
| 2021-03-27 | WINRED | contributed_to | $25 | pas2 | |
| 2021-03-23 | WINRED | contributed_to | $25 | pas2 |
Outbound (2)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | JOE COLLINS FOR CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | principal_candidate_of | COLLINS FOR CA-36 REPUBLICAN NOMINEE FUND 2022 | β | candidate_committees |