RYANS, JERLILIA MS.
D Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H0CA52091- Internal id
6d2cd69e-e52a-4ee1-bd3e-11ca370f800f- Status
- open seat
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), CA-48. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 760,621 |
| People | Median age | 40 |
| Income | Median household income | $113,202 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $47,913 |
| Income | In poverty | 8.2% |
| Income | Unemployed | 5.5% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.418 |
| Race | White alone | 58.1% |
| Race | Black alone | 3.3% |
| Race | Asian alone | 6.9% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 30.7% |
| Race | Two or more races | 18.8% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 16.9% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 72.4% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 18.8% |
| Education | High school or higher | 56.3% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 34.8% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 12.4% |
| Household | Family households | 75.9% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.95 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 29.7% |
| Housing | Median home value | $735,700 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $2,181 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 69.6% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 1.4% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 5.2% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 5.1% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 8.7% |
| Health | With a disability | 11.9% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 95.3% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 3.0% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 71.4% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.6% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 16.8% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $0 | $19,678 | $-13,673 | $0 | $0 |
| 2024 | $18,223 | $17,563 | $-80 | $0 | $0 |
Elections
- 2020 general house Β· CA-52 β lost_general
- 2020 general house Β· CA-48 β running
- 2024 general house Β· CA-50 β lost_general
- 2024 general house Β· CA-48 β running
- 2026 general house Β· CA-48 β running
Committees
- FRIENDS OF JERLILIA RYANS FOR CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 20.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| D (major party) | +10.0% |
| open seat | -5.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Transfers from committees
Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).
| Date | From committee | Type | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-16 | FRIENDS OF JERLILIA RYANS FOR CONGRESS | 24K | $18 |
| 2026-03-16 | FRIENDS OF JERLILIA RYANS FOR CONGRESS | 24K | $37 |
| 2026-03-13 | FRIENDS OF JERLILIA RYANS FOR CONGRESS | 24K | $455 |
| 2026-03-13 | FRIENDS OF JERLILIA RYANS FOR CONGRESS | 24K | $76 |
| 2026-03-10 | FRIENDS OF JERLILIA RYANS FOR CONGRESS | 24K | $12 |
| 2026-03-10 | FRIENDS OF JERLILIA RYANS FOR CONGRESS | 24K | $57 |
| 2026-03-10 | FRIENDS OF JERLILIA RYANS FOR CONGRESS | 24K | $1,444 |
| 2026-03-10 | FRIENDS OF JERLILIA RYANS FOR CONGRESS | 24K | $248 |
| 2026-03-06 | FRIENDS OF JERLILIA RYANS FOR CONGRESS | 24K | $86 |
| 2026-03-06 | FRIENDS OF JERLILIA RYANS FOR CONGRESS | 24K | $164 |
| 2026-03-03 | FRIENDS OF JERLILIA RYANS FOR CONGRESS | 24K | $2,000 |
| 2026-02-20 | FRIENDS OF JERLILIA RYANS FOR CONGRESS | 24K | $37 |
| 2026-02-09 | FRIENDS OF JERLILIA RYANS FOR CONGRESS | 24K | $100 |
| 2026-01-19 | FRIENDS OF JERLILIA RYANS FOR CONGRESS | 24K | $455 |
Connected on the graph
Inbound (14)
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | FRIENDS OF JERLILIA RYANS FOR CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees |