SOUTHERLAND, WILLIAM STEVE II

R · house · bioguide S001186

FEC candidate id: H0FL02110
Internal id: d7b6912e-5151-4c34-8c6b-8fb3d3e81d45
Status: challenger

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here — American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), FL-02. Source.

Category	Metric	Value
People	Population	792,630
People	Median age	39
Income	Median household income	$64,208
Income	Per-capita income	$36,170
Income	In poverty	16.6%
Income	Unemployed	5.1%
Income	Gini inequality index	0.477
Race	White alone	64.8%
Race	Black alone	22.4%
Race	Asian alone	2.0%
Race	Hispanic or Latino	7.7%
Race	Two or more races	8.0%
Origin	Foreign-born	6.3%
Language	Speaks English only at home	90.8%
Language	Speaks Spanish at home	5.3%
Education	High school or higher	60.6%
Education	Bachelor's or higher	31.6%
Education	Advanced degree	12.6%
Household	Family households	59.8%
Household	Avg household size	2.34
Household	Never married (15+)	37.4%
Housing	Median home value	$253,800
Housing	Median gross rent	$1,265
Housing	Single-family detached	54.6%
Housing	Built before 1940	2.6%
Housing	Overcrowded (>1 per room)	2.5%
Housing	Vacant units	20.3%
Service	Veterans (18+)	8.6%
Health	With a disability	16.2%
Connectivity	Households with broadband	89.3%
Connectivity	Households with no internet	7.5%
Commute	Drove alone	74.9%
Commute	Public transit	0.8%
Commute	Worked from home	11.4%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

Cycle	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand	Debts	Indiv. contribs.
2016	$5,901	$77,640	$0	$0	$0
2014	$2,941,798	$2,971,841	$71,739	$0	$1,490,392
2012	$1,823,957	$1,722,317	$101,782	$36,000	$1,025,287
2010	$1,291,071	$1,290,929	$142	$0	$950,066

Elections

2010 general house · FL-2 — won
2012 general house · FL-2 — lost_general
2014 general house · FL-2 — lost_general

Committees

FLORIDA YOUNG GUNS VICTORY FUND ADAMS NUGENT ROSS SOUTHERLAND WEBSTER WEST — joint_fundraising · type H
FOUNDERS JOINT CANDIDATE COMMITTEE — joint_fundraising · type N
FRESHMAN AGRICULTURAL REPUBLICAN MEMBERS TRUST AKA FARM TRUST — joint_fundraising · type H
PATRIOT DAY I — joint_fundraising · type H
PROTECTING FLORIDA'S FUTURE FUND — joint_fundraising · type N
SOUTHERLAND FOR CONGRESS — principal · type H
SOUTHERLAND YOHO VICTORY — joint_fundraising · type N
YOUNG GUNS VICTORY FUND II — joint_fundraising · type H

Recent votes

No votes on file.

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 25.1%

Feature	Δ P(win)
Base rate (historical)	15.1%
R (major party)	+10.0%

Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Connected on the graph

Outbound (8)

date	type	to	amount	source
—	joint_fundraising_committee_of	FRESHMAN AGRICULTURAL REPUBLICAN MEMBERS TRUST AKA FARM TRUST	—	candidate_committees
—	joint_fundraising_committee_of	FLORIDA YOUNG GUNS VICTORY FUND ADAMS NUGENT ROSS SOUTHERLAND WEBSTER WEST	—	candidate_committees
—	joint_fundraising_committee_of	YOUNG GUNS VICTORY FUND II	—	candidate_committees
—	joint_fundraising_committee_of	PROTECTING FLORIDA'S FUTURE FUND	—	candidate_committees
—	joint_fundraising_committee_of	SOUTHERLAND YOHO VICTORY	—	candidate_committees
—	joint_fundraising_committee_of	PATRIOT DAY I	—	candidate_committees
—	joint_fundraising_committee_of	FOUNDERS JOINT CANDIDATE COMMITTEE	—	candidate_committees
—	principal_candidate_of	SOUTHERLAND FOR CONGRESS	—	candidate_committees

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