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AGUILAR, ERICK JAVIER

R Β· house

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FEC candidate id
H0FL04140
Internal id
ff1e4acb-dddf-47fb-ac4c-29de97cb60e1
Status
challenger

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here β€” American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), FL-04. Source.

CategoryMetricValue
PeoplePopulation797,286
PeopleMedian age39
IncomeMedian household income$71,083
IncomePer-capita income$36,995
IncomeIn poverty14.3%
IncomeUnemployed5.1%
IncomeGini inequality index0.453
RaceWhite alone54.0%
RaceBlack alone30.5%
RaceAsian alone2.7%
RaceHispanic or Latino9.8%
RaceTwo or more races8.9%
OriginForeign-born7.1%
LanguageSpeaks English only at home89.6%
LanguageSpeaks Spanish at home6.0%
EducationHigh school or higher58.1%
EducationBachelor's or higher27.2%
EducationAdvanced degree9.0%
HouseholdFamily households65.8%
HouseholdAvg household size2.54
HouseholdNever married (15+)33.1%
HousingMedian home value$285,600
HousingMedian gross rent$1,359
HousingSingle-family detached69.5%
HousingBuilt before 19404.3%
HousingOvercrowded (>1 per room)2.0%
HousingVacant units9.2%
ServiceVeterans (18+)12.3%
HealthWith a disability15.8%
ConnectivityHouseholds with broadband90.5%
ConnectivityHouseholds with no internet6.2%
CommuteDrove alone72.2%
CommutePublic transit1.0%
CommuteWorked from home14.1%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

CycleRaisedSpentCash on handDebtsIndiv. contribs.
2024$0$0$0$89,026$0
2022$1,255,379$1,256,382$0$0$758,379
2020$15,697$14,595$1,002$343,803$4,697

Elections

Committees

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 25.1%

FeatureΞ” P(win)
Base rate (historical)15.1%
R (major party)+10.0%

Baseline model (incumbency Γ— party Γ— office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

DateFrom committeeTypeAmount
2022-06-15SEAL PAC SUPPORTING ELECTING AMERICAN LEADERS P…24K$5,000
2022-02-28WINRED24K$-10
2022-01-26WINRED24K$-50
2022-01-26WINRED24K$-25
2022-01-26WINRED24K$-25
2022-01-16WINRED24K$-5
2022-01-16WINRED24K$-5
2022-01-16WINRED24K$-5
2022-01-16WINRED24K$-10
2022-01-15WINRED24K$-10
2022-01-03WINRED24K$-100
2021-12-12WINRED24K$-3
2021-12-12WINRED24K$-3
2021-12-12WINRED24K$-3
2021-12-06WINRED24K$-5
2021-12-05WINRED24K$-25
2021-12-05WINRED24K$-100
2021-12-02WINRED24K$-50
2021-12-02WINRED24K$-2,042
2021-12-02WINRED24K$-5
2021-12-02WINRED24K$-50
2021-11-30WINRED24K$-25
2021-11-30WINRED24K$-25
2021-11-29WINRED24K$-25
2021-11-29WINRED24K$-25

Connected on the graph

Inbound (56)

datefromtypeamountrolesource
2022-06-15SEAL PAC SUPPORTING ELECTING AMERICAN LEADERS PACcommittee_contributed_to_candidate$5,00024Kfec_pas2
2022-06-15SEAL PAC SUPPORTING ELECTING AMERICAN LEADERS PACcontributed_to$5,000pas2
2022-02-28WINREDcontributed_to$-10pas2
2022-01-26WINREDcontributed_to$-25pas2
2022-01-26WINREDcontributed_to$-50pas2
2022-01-26WINREDcontributed_to$-25pas2
2022-01-16WINREDcontributed_to$-10pas2
2022-01-16WINREDcontributed_to$-5pas2
2022-01-16WINREDcontributed_to$-5pas2
2022-01-16WINREDcontributed_to$-5pas2
2022-01-15WINREDcontributed_to$-10pas2
2022-01-03WINREDcontributed_to$-100pas2
2021-12-12WINREDcontributed_to$-3pas2
2021-12-12WINREDcontributed_to$-3pas2
2021-12-12WINREDcontributed_to$-3pas2
2021-12-06WINREDcontributed_to$-5pas2
2021-12-05WINREDcontributed_to$-25pas2
2021-12-05WINREDcontributed_to$-100pas2
2021-12-02WINREDcontributed_to$-5pas2
2021-12-02WINREDcontributed_to$-50pas2
2021-12-02WINREDcontributed_to$-2,042pas2
2021-12-02WINREDcontributed_to$-50pas2
2021-11-30WINREDcontributed_to$-25pas2
2021-11-30WINREDcontributed_to$-25pas2
2021-11-29WINREDcontributed_to$-10pas2
2021-11-29WINREDcontributed_to$-25pas2
2021-11-29WINREDcontributed_to$-25pas2
2021-11-29WINREDcontributed_to$-25pas2
2021-11-29WINREDcontributed_to$-50pas2
2021-11-09WINREDcontributed_to$-25pas2
2021-11-09WINREDcontributed_to$-50pas2
2021-11-06WINREDcontributed_to$-20pas2
2021-11-05WINREDcontributed_to$-100pas2
2021-11-04WINREDcontributed_to$-25pas2
2021-11-03WINREDcontributed_to$-10pas2
2021-11-02WINREDcontributed_to$-100pas2
2021-10-27WINREDcontributed_to$-100pas2
2021-10-27WINREDcontributed_to$-100pas2
2021-10-27WINREDcontributed_to$-100pas2
2021-10-27WINREDcontributed_to$-50pas2
2021-10-27WINREDcontributed_to$-100pas2
2021-10-27WINREDcontributed_to$-50pas2
2021-10-21WINREDcontributed_to$-100pas2
2021-10-15WINREDcontributed_to$-5,800pas2
2021-10-01WINREDcontributed_to$-10pas2
2021-09-27WINREDcontributed_to$-100pas2
2021-09-23WINREDcontributed_to$-100pas2
2021-09-23WINREDcontributed_to$-50pas2
2021-09-16WINREDcontributed_to$-5pas2
2021-09-16WINREDcontributed_to$-5pas2
2021-09-10WINREDcontributed_to$-250pas2
2021-09-09WINREDcontributed_to$-10pas2
2021-08-26WINREDcontributed_to$-50pas2
2021-08-10WINREDcontributed_to$-45pas2
2021-08-08WINREDcontributed_to$-10pas2
2021-08-08WINREDcontributed_to$-10pas2

Outbound (3)

datetypetoamountrolesource
β€”principal_candidate_ofERICK AGUILAR CONGRESSIONAL RACE CANDIDATEβ€”candidate_committees
β€”principal_candidate_ofFRIENDS OF ERICK AGUILARβ€”candidate_committees
β€”principal_candidate_ofDEFEND LIBERTYβ€”candidate_committees

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