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MONTAGUE, WILLIE

R Β· house

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FEC candidate id
H0FL10113
Internal id
36a3ba69-08c7-42e0-a81a-69d944465c00
Status
challenger

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here β€” American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), FL-10. Source.

CategoryMetricValue
PeoplePopulation788,933
PeopleMedian age35
IncomeMedian household income$71,412
IncomePer-capita income$38,346
IncomeIn poverty15.3%
IncomeUnemployed6.2%
IncomeGini inequality index0.486
RaceWhite alone40.1%
RaceBlack alone26.4%
RaceAsian alone4.9%
RaceHispanic or Latino30.2%
RaceTwo or more races18.8%
OriginForeign-born23.1%
LanguageSpeaks English only at home64.1%
LanguageSpeaks Spanish at home22.6%
EducationHigh school or higher61.8%
EducationBachelor's or higher37.1%
EducationAdvanced degree13.5%
HouseholdFamily households60.5%
HouseholdAvg household size2.60
HouseholdNever married (15+)44.7%
HousingMedian home value$360,000
HousingMedian gross rent$1,692
HousingSingle-family detached48.3%
HousingBuilt before 19402.2%
HousingOvercrowded (>1 per room)4.0%
HousingVacant units10.0%
ServiceVeterans (18+)5.1%
HealthWith a disability11.5%
ConnectivityHouseholds with broadband93.0%
ConnectivityHouseholds with no internet4.8%
CommuteDrove alone68.3%
CommutePublic transit1.9%
CommuteWorked from home16.5%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

CycleRaisedSpentCash on handDebtsIndiv. contribs.
2026$28$0$28$4,000$28
2024$24,495$24,497$0$4,000$20,495
2022$211,890$211,927$2$0$211,310
2020$21,931$22,306$39$0$17,991

Elections

Committees

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 25.1%

FeatureΞ” P(win)
Base rate (historical)15.1%
R (major party)+10.0%

Baseline model (incumbency Γ— party Γ— office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

DateFrom committeeTypeAmount
2022-12-28WINRED24K$-10
2022-12-28WINRED24K$-10
2022-12-02WINRED24K$-5
2022-10-07WINRED24K$-3
2022-10-07WINRED24K$-27
2022-10-05WINRED24K$-5
2022-09-24WINRED24K$-4
2022-09-21WINRED24K$-25
2022-08-26WINRED24K$-10
2022-08-09WINRED24K$-3
2022-07-23WINRED24K$-10
2022-07-12WINRED24K$-10
2022-07-02WINRED24K$-50
2022-07-02WINRED24K$-25
2022-06-30WINRED24K$-25
2022-06-22WINRED24K$-50
2022-06-18WINRED24K$-5
2022-05-30WINRED24K$-25
2022-05-30WINRED24K$-25
2022-05-11WINRED24K$-10
2022-05-05WINRED24K$-50
2022-04-25WINRED24K$-27
2022-04-20WINRED24K$-25
2022-04-15WINRED24K$-10
2022-04-15WINRED24K$-25

Connected on the graph

Inbound (45)

datefromtypeamountrolesource
2022-12-28WINREDcontributed_to$-10pas2
2022-12-28WINREDcontributed_to$-10pas2
2022-12-02WINREDcontributed_to$-5pas2
2022-10-07WINREDcontributed_to$-3pas2
2022-10-07WINREDcontributed_to$-27pas2
2022-10-05WINREDcontributed_to$-5pas2
2022-09-24WINREDcontributed_to$-4pas2
2022-09-21WINREDcontributed_to$-25pas2
2022-08-26WINREDcontributed_to$-10pas2
2022-08-09WINREDcontributed_to$-3pas2
2022-07-23WINREDcontributed_to$-10pas2
2022-07-12WINREDcontributed_to$-10pas2
2022-07-02WINREDcontributed_to$-25pas2
2022-07-02WINREDcontributed_to$-50pas2
2022-06-30WINREDcontributed_to$-25pas2
2022-06-22WINREDcontributed_to$-50pas2
2022-06-18WINREDcontributed_to$-5pas2
2022-05-30WINREDcontributed_to$-25pas2
2022-05-30WINREDcontributed_to$-25pas2
2022-05-11WINREDcontributed_to$-10pas2
2022-05-05WINREDcontributed_to$-50pas2
2022-04-25WINREDcontributed_to$-27pas2
2022-04-20WINREDcontributed_to$-25pas2
2022-04-15WINREDcontributed_to$-25pas2
2022-04-15WINREDcontributed_to$-25pas2
2022-04-15WINREDcontributed_to$-10pas2
2022-04-15WINREDcontributed_to$-25pas2
2022-04-11WINREDcontributed_to$-25pas2
2022-04-11WINREDcontributed_to$-25pas2
2022-04-08WINREDcontributed_to$-27pas2
2022-04-05WINREDcontributed_to$-100pas2
2022-04-04WINREDcontributed_to$-10pas2
2022-04-03WINREDcontributed_to$-2,900pas2
2022-04-01WINREDcontributed_to$-100pas2
2022-03-31WINREDcontributed_to$-27pas2
2022-03-31WINREDcontributed_to$-27pas2
2022-03-26WINREDcontributed_to$-35pas2
2022-02-25JOE COLLINS FOR CONGRESScontributed_to$375pas2
2022-01-17WINREDcontributed_to$-157pas2
2022-01-15WINREDcontributed_to$-27pas2
2021-08-12WINREDcontributed_to$-10pas2
2021-06-19WINREDcontributed_to$5pas2
2021-06-17WINREDcontributed_to$1pas2
2021-06-06WINREDcontributed_to$10pas2
2021-05-18WINREDcontributed_to$0pas2

Outbound (1)

datetypetoamountrolesource
β€”principal_candidate_ofWILLIE MONTAGUE FOR CONGRESSβ€”candidate_committees

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