GRAVES, JOHN THOMAS MR. JR.
R Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H0GA09030- Internal id
8050a97a-4fe1-4a63-b58f-affef9fac121- Status
- incumbent
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), GA-14. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 782,758 |
| People | Median age | 39 |
| Income | Median household income | $79,676 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $37,280 |
| Income | In poverty | 10.9% |
| Income | Unemployed | 4.5% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.439 |
| Race | White alone | 71.4% |
| Race | Black alone | 12.4% |
| Race | Asian alone | 1.7% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 12.8% |
| Race | Two or more races | 8.4% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 8.4% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 87.0% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 9.7% |
| Education | High school or higher | 57.6% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 28.0% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 10.4% |
| Household | Family households | 73.8% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.74 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 28.4% |
| Housing | Median home value | $271,600 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,089 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 77.9% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 3.1% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 2.3% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 7.5% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 6.8% |
| Health | With a disability | 14.1% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 90.8% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 6.7% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 76.5% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.3% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 12.1% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $801,737 | $851,267 | $1,894,974 | $0 | $140,949 |
| 2018 | $2,084,075 | $1,019,273 | $1,944,503 | $0 | $660,088 |
| 2016 | $1,368,638 | $777,700 | $879,702 | $0 | $514,076 |
| 2014 | $969,539 | $736,722 | $288,764 | $0 | $431,922 |
| 2012 | $1,179,677 | $1,126,844 | $55,947 | $0 | $627,142 |
| 2010 | $1,312,938 | $1,309,824 | $3,115 | $99,977 | $875,716 |
Elections
- 2010 general house Β· GA-9 β won
- 2012 general house Β· GA-14 β won
- 2014 general house Β· GA-14 β won
- 2016 general house Β· GA-14 β won
- 2018 general house Β· GA-14 β won
- 2020 general house Β· GA-14 β lost_general
Committees
- GEORGIA YOUNG GUNS VICTORY FUND (GRAVES, SCOTT, WOODALL) β joint_fundraising Β· type H
- GFC PAC β principal Β· type N
- GFC PAC β independent Β· type N
- GRAVES-WESTMORELAND JFC β joint_fundraising Β· type H
- RYAN GRAVES JFC β joint_fundraising Β· type H
- SCHOCK MAJORITY FUND β joint_fundraising Β· type N
- TEAM GRAVES β joint_fundraising Β· type N
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 99.0%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| incumbent | +78.0% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (7)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | independent_committee_of | GFC PAC | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | GRAVES-WESTMORELAND JFC | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | RYAN GRAVES JFC | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | GEORGIA YOUNG GUNS VICTORY FUND (GRAVES, SCOTT, WOODALL) | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | TEAM GRAVES | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | SCHOCK MAJORITY FUND | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | principal_candidate_of | GFC PAC | β | candidate_committees |