KIRK, MARK STEVEN
R Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H0IL10120- Internal id
5e118370-3c15-4d45-8634-69ea89814f91- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), IL-10. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 753,708 |
| People | Median age | 40 |
| Income | Median household income | $107,371 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $59,487 |
| Income | In poverty | 8.6% |
| Income | Unemployed | 5.0% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.502 |
| Race | White alone | 61.8% |
| Race | Black alone | 6.5% |
| Race | Asian alone | 8.3% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 24.7% |
| Race | Two or more races | 13.3% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 19.9% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 68.7% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 18.8% |
| Education | High school or higher | 67.1% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 47.0% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 20.4% |
| Household | Family households | 70.9% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.66 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 31.8% |
| Housing | Median home value | $342,700 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,477 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 65.5% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 4.0% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 2.9% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 5.0% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 4.8% |
| Health | With a disability | 10.0% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 94.2% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 4.2% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 65.2% |
| Commute | Public transit | 3.0% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 19.5% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 | $14,372,687 | $14,146,756 | $305,799 | $0 | $11,736,866 |
| 2008 | $5,456,609 | $5,449,412 | $79,868 | $0 | $4,108,213 |
| 2006 | $3,168,372 | $3,512,977 | $72,672 | $0 | $2,473,578 |
| 2004 | $1,747,928 | $1,653,535 | $417,277 | $0 | $1,356,784 |
| 2002 | $1,705,513 | $1,436,058 | $322,883 | $0 | $1,165,975 |
| 2000 | $2,083,719 | $2,030,292 | $53,428 | $0 | $1,404,401 |
Elections
- 2002 general house Β· IL-10 β running
- 2004 general house Β· IL-10 β running
- 2006 general house Β· IL-10 β running
- 2008 general house Β· IL-10 β running
- 2010 general house Β· IL-10 β lost_general
Committees
- 2008 JOINT CANDIDATE COMMITTE β joint_fundraising Β· type N
- ILLINOIS LINCOLN PAC β principal Β· type N
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (2)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | 2008 JOINT CANDIDATE COMMITTE | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | principal_candidate_of | ILLINOIS LINCOLN PAC | β | candidate_committees |