KING, ESTHER JOY
R Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H0IL17083- Internal id
ba01ff21-297a-4b12-a829-79f37d98aa8b- Status
- open seat
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), IL-17. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 746,022 |
| People | Median age | 39 |
| Income | Median household income | $59,364 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $33,489 |
| Income | In poverty | 17.8% |
| Income | Unemployed | 6.0% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.459 |
| Race | White alone | 70.6% |
| Race | Black alone | 13.1% |
| Race | Asian alone | 2.2% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 11.8% |
| Race | Two or more races | 9.2% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 6.7% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 88.8% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 7.0% |
| Education | High school or higher | 56.7% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 24.5% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 8.7% |
| Household | Family households | 56.2% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.23 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 38.4% |
| Housing | Median home value | $132,800 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $904 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 70.1% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 7.5% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 1.6% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 9.6% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 6.4% |
| Health | With a disability | 15.6% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 87.4% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 8.7% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 75.8% |
| Commute | Public transit | 1.0% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 9.2% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | $-64 | $78,994 | $0 | $0 | $-64 |
| 2022 | $5,114,935 | $5,038,169 | $79,058 | $0 | $3,555,040 |
| 2020 | $2,058,085 | $2,055,794 | $2,292 | $10,150 | $1,677,459 |
Elections
Committees
- ESTHER FOR CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
- KING FOR IL-17 β principal Β· type H
- KING FOR IL-17 2022 β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 20.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
| open seat | -5.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Independent expenditures
Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).
| Cycle | Support | Oppose | IEs |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | $190,977 | $7,098,916 | 54 |
Recent (latest 25)
| Date | Spender | For / against | Amount | Purpose |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | HMP | oppose | $75,000 | Digital Advertising - Estimate |
| β | HMP | oppose | $20,004 | Direct Mail - Estimate |
| β | HMP | oppose | $30,962 | Digital Advertising - Estimate |
| β | HMP | oppose | $31,396 | Media Production - Estimate |
| β | HMP | oppose | $804,450 | Television Advertising - Estimate |
| β | HMP | oppose | $308,550 | Television Advertising - Estimate |
| β | HMP | oppose | $21,908 | Media Production - Estimate |
| β | HMP | oppose | $22,000 | Media Production - Estimate |
| β | HMP | oppose | $19,919 | Direct Mail - Estimate |
| β | HMP | oppose | $10,299 | Digital Production - Estimate |
| β | HMP | oppose | $308,550 | Television Advertising - Estimate |
| β | HMP | oppose | $121,100 | Television Advertising - Estimate |
| β | HMP | oppose | $19,919 | Direct Mail - Estimate |
| β | HMP | oppose | $933,119 | Television Advertising - Estimate |
| β | HMP | oppose | $20,473 | Direct Mail - Estimate |
| β | HMP | oppose | $628,747 | Television Advertising - Estimate |
| β | DEFENDING THE REPUBLIC PAC INC. | support | $750 | Creation of micro-site |
| β | DEFENDING THE REPUBLIC PAC INC. | support | $1,000 | Creative for digital ad |
| β | DEFENDING THE REPUBLIC PAC INC. | support | $50,000 | Digital ad buy |
| β | DEFENDING THE REPUBLIC PAC INC. | support | $1,000 | Creative for digital ad |
| β | DEFENDING THE REPUBLIC PAC INC. | support | $40,000 | Digital ad buy |
| β | HMP | oppose | $75,000 | Digital Advertising - Estimate |
| β | HMP | oppose | $12,079 | Media Production - Estimate |
| β | HMP | oppose | $30,962 | Digital Advertising - Estimate |
| β | HMP | oppose | $19,919 | Direct Mail - Estimate |
Transfers from committees
Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).
| Date | From committee | Type | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|
| β | HMP | 24A | $21,907 |
| β | HMP | 24A | $308,550 |
| β | ILLINOIS AGRICULTURAL ASSOCIATION ACTIVATOR POLβ¦ | 24E | $1,000 |
| β | HMP | 24A | $22,000 |
| β | HMP | 24A | $20,004 |
| 2022-12-30 | ABRAHAM LINCOLN PAC | 24K | $-5,000 |
| 2022-12-21 | WINRED | 24K | $-5 |
| 2022-12-21 | WINRED | 24K | $-25 |
| 2022-12-21 | WINRED | 24K | $-10 |
| 2022-12-21 | WINRED | 24K | $-5 |
| 2022-12-19 | WINRED | 24K | $-5 |
| 2022-12-19 | WINRED | 24K | $-5 |
| 2022-12-17 | WINRED | 24K | $-10 |
| 2022-12-16 | WINRED | 24K | $0 |
| 2022-12-15 | WINRED | 24K | $-25 |
| 2022-12-14 | WINRED | 24K | $-4 |
| 2022-12-14 | WINRED | 24K | $-4 |
| 2022-12-10 | WINRED | 24K | $0 |
| 2022-12-08 | WINRED | 24K | $-10 |
| 2022-12-08 | WINRED | 24K | $-500 |
| 2022-12-07 | ILLINOIS AGRICULTURAL ASSOCIATION ACTIVATOR POL⦠| 24K | $250 |
| 2022-12-07 | ILLINOIS AGRICULTURAL ASSOCIATION ACTIVATOR POL⦠| 24K | $1,000 |
| 2022-12-07 | ILLINOIS AGRICULTURAL ASSOCIATION ACTIVATOR POL⦠| 24E | $561 |
| 2022-12-05 | WINRED | 24K | $0 |
| 2022-12-02 | WINRED | 24K | $-5 |
Connected on the graph
Inbound (100)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | HMP | contributed_to | $21,907 | pas2 | |
| β | HMP | contributed_to | $308,550 | pas2 | |
| β | HMP | contributed_to | $22,000 | pas2 | |
| β | HMP | contributed_to | $20,004 | pas2 | |
| β | ILLINOIS AGRICULTURAL ASSOCIATION ACTIVATOR POLITICAL INVOLVEMENT FUND (FED) 'ACTIVATOR'/'ILLINOIS FARM BUREAU ACTIVATOR' | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 | |
| β | HMP | opposes_independently | $75,000 | fec_ies | |
| β | HMP | opposes_independently | $20,473 | fec_ies | |
| β | HMP | opposes_independently | $30,962 | fec_ies | |
| β | HMP | opposes_independently | $30,962 | fec_ies | |
| β | HMP | opposes_independently | $19,919 | fec_ies | |
| β | HMP | opposes_independently | $1,232 | fec_ies | |
| β | HMP | opposes_independently | $19,919 | fec_ies | |
| β | HMP | opposes_independently | $10,299 | fec_ies | |
| β | HMP | opposes_independently | $21,908 | fec_ies | |
| β | HMP | opposes_independently | $308,550 | fec_ies | |
| β | HMP | opposes_independently | $31,396 | fec_ies | |
| β | HMP | opposes_independently | $19,919 | fec_ies | |
| β | HMP | opposes_independently | $12,079 | fec_ies | |
| β | HMP | opposes_independently | $933,119 | fec_ies | |
| β | HMP | opposes_independently | $22,000 | fec_ies | |
| β | HMP | opposes_independently | $75,000 | fec_ies | |
| β | HMP | opposes_independently | $308,550 | fec_ies | |
| β | HMP | opposes_independently | $804,450 | fec_ies | |
| β | HMP | opposes_independently | $628,747 | fec_ies | |
| β | HMP | opposes_independently | $121,100 | fec_ies | |
| β | HMP | opposes_independently | $20,004 | fec_ies | |
| β | DEFENDING THE REPUBLIC PAC INC. | supports_independently | $40,000 | fec_ies | |
| β | DEFENDING THE REPUBLIC PAC INC. | supports_independently | $1,000 | fec_ies | |
| β | DEFENDING THE REPUBLIC PAC INC. | supports_independently | $50,000 | fec_ies | |
| β | DEFENDING THE REPUBLIC PAC INC. | supports_independently | $1,000 | fec_ies | |
| β | DEFENDING THE REPUBLIC PAC INC. | supports_independently | $750 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-12-30 | ABRAHAM LINCOLN LEADERSHIP POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE | contributed_to | $-5,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-12-21 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-25 | pas2 | |
| 2022-12-21 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-5 | pas2 | |
| 2022-12-21 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-5 | pas2 | |
| 2022-12-21 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-10 | pas2 | |
| 2022-12-19 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-5 | pas2 | |
| 2022-12-19 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-5 | pas2 | |
| 2022-12-17 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-10 | pas2 | |
| 2022-12-16 | WINRED | contributed_to | $0 | pas2 | |
| 2022-12-15 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-25 | pas2 | |
| 2022-12-14 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-4 | pas2 | |
| 2022-12-14 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-4 | pas2 | |
| 2022-12-10 | WINRED | contributed_to | $0 | pas2 | |
| 2022-12-08 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-500 | pas2 | |
| 2022-12-08 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-10 | pas2 | |
| 2022-12-07 | ILLINOIS AGRICULTURAL ASSOCIATION ACTIVATOR POLITICAL INVOLVEMENT FUND (FED) 'ACTIVATOR'/'ILLINOIS FARM BUREAU ACTIVATOR' | contributed_to | $561 | pas2 | |
| 2022-12-07 | ILLINOIS AGRICULTURAL ASSOCIATION ACTIVATOR POLITICAL INVOLVEMENT FUND (FED) 'ACTIVATOR'/'ILLINOIS FARM BUREAU ACTIVATOR' | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-12-07 | ILLINOIS AGRICULTURAL ASSOCIATION ACTIVATOR POLITICAL INVOLVEMENT FUND (FED) 'ACTIVATOR'/'ILLINOIS FARM BUREAU ACTIVATOR' | contributed_to | $250 | pas2 | |
| 2022-12-05 | WINRED | contributed_to | $0 | pas2 | |
| 2022-12-02 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-5 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-22 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-1 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-17 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-17 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-17 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-2,900 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-17 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-25 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-17 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-5 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-15 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-50 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-12 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-12 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-11 | DEFENDING THE REPUBLIC PAC INC. | contributed_to | $2 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-10 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-49 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-10 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-5 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-09 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-750 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-09 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-10 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-08 | HMP | contributed_to | $1,231 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-08 | CLF | contributed_to | $8,855 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-07 | NEVER SURRENDER PAC | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-07 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-07 | NO VOTE LEFT BEHIND | contributed_to | $18,413 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-07 | MAJORITY IN ACTION | contributed_to | $2,041 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-04 | EASY TO VOTE, HARD TO CHEAT | contributed_to | $33,451 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-04 | NATIONAL CATTLEMEN'S BEEF ASSOCIATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (NCBA-PAC) | contributed_to | $-2,500 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-04 | EASY TO VOTE, HARD TO CHEAT | supports_independently | $33,452 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-11-04 | ILLINOIS AGRICULTURAL ASSOCIATION ACTIVATOR POLITICAL INVOLVEMENT FUND (FED) 'ACTIVATOR'/'ILLINOIS FARM BUREAU ACTIVATOR' | contributed_to | $346 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-04 | LAND OF OPPORTUNITY PAC | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-04 | NATIONAL CATTLEMEN'S BEEF ASSOCIATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (NCBA-PAC) | contributed_to | $2,500 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-03 | WINRED | contributed_to | $0 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-03 | FAMILY RESEARCH COUNCIL ACTION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE | contributed_to | $4,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-03 | CONSERVATIVE PROMISES PAC | contributed_to | $3,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-03 | FREEDOM, FAMILY & PROSPERITY PAC | contributed_to | $-2,900 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-03 | ELECTING MAJORITY MAKING EFFECTIVE REPUBLICANS PAC | contributed_to | $2,500 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-03 | FREEDOM, FAMILY & PROSPERITY PAC | contributed_to | $2,900 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-03 | NO VOTE LEFT BEHIND | opposes_independently | $18,414 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-11-02 | NEVER SURRENDER PAC | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-02 | GREAT PLAINS LEADERSHIP FUND | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-02 | MNM PAC | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-01 | 31 DAYS PAC | contributed_to | $2,900 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-01 | SPECIAL OPERATIONS FOR AMERICA | contributed_to | $12,500 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-01 | SPECIAL OPERATIONS FOR AMERICA | supports_independently | $12,500 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-11-01 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-15 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-01 | HMP | contributed_to | $628,747 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-01 | HMP | contributed_to | $933,119 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-01 | UNIVERSITY PUBLIC ISSUES COMMITTEE AKA UPIC | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-01 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-31 | JAM PAC | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-31 | THE COUNCIL OF INSURANCE AGENTS & BROKERS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE | contributed_to | $5,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-31 | SECURING AMERICAS MIGHT SAM PAC | contributed_to | $2,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-31 | EQUALITY LEADERSHIP FUND | contributed_to | $34,348 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-31 | HMP | contributed_to | $10,299 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-31 | CLF | contributed_to | $4,683 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-31 | HMP | contributed_to | $75,000 | pas2 |
Outbound (3)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | KING FOR IL-17 | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | principal_candidate_of | KING FOR IL-17 2022 | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | principal_candidate_of | ESTHER FOR CONGRESS COMMITTEE | β | candidate_committees |