SAMUEL, ANTHONY A
R Β· house
Sign in to add to a watchlist β
- FEC candidate id
H0IN10078- Internal id
53426bcf-98bb-46cd-9ebb-31b48dab536e- Status
- challenger
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2002 | $12,670 | $12,783 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| 2000 | $76,964 | $76,850 | $112 | $8,549 | $56,929 |
Elections
- 2000 general house Β· IN-10 β lost_general
Committees
- TONY SAMUEL FOR CONGRESS COMMITTEE β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | TONY SAMUEL FOR CONGRESS COMMITTEE | β | candidate_committees |