DE LA ISLA, MICHELLE
D Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H0KS02196- Internal id
4ff4aaf9-1a27-4530-b1a2-f79eb4f13b5b- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), KS-02. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 732,657 |
| People | Median age | 38 |
| Income | Median household income | $65,594 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $34,498 |
| Income | In poverty | 13.3% |
| Income | Unemployed | 4.2% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.434 |
| Race | White alone | 73.6% |
| Race | Black alone | 7.6% |
| Race | Asian alone | 1.9% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 13.5% |
| Race | Two or more races | 11.0% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 6.1% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 89.6% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 7.7% |
| Education | High school or higher | 58.6% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 27.9% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 10.4% |
| Household | Family households | 63.6% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.44 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 30.2% |
| Housing | Median home value | $166,600 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $954 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 74.7% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 5.2% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 2.6% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 10.8% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 8.4% |
| Health | With a disability | 15.7% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 88.9% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 8.7% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 76.9% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.4% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 8.8% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | $0 | $14,118 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| 2020 | $1,840,566 | $1,826,448 | $14,118 | $0 | $1,451,641 |
Elections
- 2020 general house Β· KS-2 β lost_general
Committees
- MICHELLE FOR KANSAS β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| D (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Transfers from committees
Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).
| Date | From committee | Type | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-06-11 | PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTES | 24E | $8 |
| 2020-10-13 | GRISSOM FOR U.S. SENATE | 24K | $1,500 |
Connected on the graph
Inbound (4)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-06-11 | PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTES | committee_contributed_to_candidate | $8 | 24E | fec_pas2 |
| 2021-06-11 | PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTES | contributed_to | $8 | pas2 | |
| 2020-10-13 | GRISSOM FOR U.S. SENATE | committee_contributed_to_candidate | $1,500 | 24K | fec_pas2 |
| 2020-10-13 | GRISSOM FOR U.S. SENATE | contributed_to | $1,500 | pas2 |
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | MICHELLE FOR KANSAS | β | candidate_committees |