MURRAY, HUGH V
R Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H0MO02031- Internal id
103ec1e9-b15f-479e-a3a4-10fca9a1fc17- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), MO-02. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 771,008 |
| People | Median age | 42 |
| Income | Median household income | $102,169 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $56,713 |
| Income | In poverty | 5.8% |
| Income | Unemployed | 3.2% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.462 |
| Race | White alone | 83.5% |
| Race | Black alone | 3.1% |
| Race | Asian alone | 4.8% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 3.3% |
| Race | Two or more races | 7.4% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 7.5% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 90.7% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 1.8% |
| Education | High school or higher | 69.5% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 50.0% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 20.5% |
| Household | Family households | 67.5% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.45 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 27.0% |
| Housing | Median home value | $341,100 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,224 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 74.0% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 3.8% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 1.1% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 5.0% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 6.3% |
| Health | With a disability | 10.7% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 94.0% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 4.4% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 73.8% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.3% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 18.1% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $39,153 | $0 |
| 1998 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $39,153 | $0 |
| 1996 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $39,153 | $0 |
| 1994 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $39,153 | $0 |
| 1992 | $16,099 | $16,097 | $0 | $39,153 | $4,720 |
| 1990 | $0 | $652 | $0 | $30,147 | $0 |
| 1988 | $0 | $302 | $652 | $30,800 | $0 |
| 1986 | $31,161 | $30,773 | $954 | $30,800 | $0 |
| 1984 | $3,542 | $3,313 | $567 | $15,400 | $1,842 |
| 1982 | $1,586 | $3,290 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| 1980 | $1,851 | $1,565 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
Elections
- 1980 general house Β· MO-2 β running
- 1982 general house Β· MO-1 β lost_general
- 1984 general house Β· MO-1 β lost_general
- 1986 general house Β· MO-2 β running
- 1992 general house Β· MO-2 β lost_general
Committees
- HUGH MURRAY FOR CONGRESS COMMITTEE β principal Β· type H
- MURRAY FOR CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (2)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | HUGH MURRAY FOR CONGRESS COMMITTEE | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | principal_candidate_of | MURRAY FOR CONGRESS COMMITTEE | β | candidate_committees |