PERRONE, KATIE RENE
OTHER Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H0MS05085- Internal id
d8d4a881-8430-4bc7-a070-9d1e3db53f58- Status
- challenger
Elections
- 2000 general house Β· MS-5 β running
Committees
- FRIENDS TO ELECT KATIE PERRONE FOR U S CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 15.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | FRIENDS TO ELECT KATIE PERRONE FOR U S CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees |