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CARTER, JOHN

R Β· house

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FEC candidate id
H0NC01077
Internal id
23328f10-a543-42b3-b333-8f896db7a0b9
Status
challenger

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here β€” American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), NC-01. Source.

CategoryMetricValue
PeoplePopulation747,584
PeopleMedian age42
IncomeMedian household income$56,285
IncomePer-capita income$31,830
IncomeIn poverty17.6%
IncomeUnemployed6.2%
IncomeGini inequality index0.465
RaceWhite alone48.4%
RaceBlack alone39.1%
RaceAsian alone0.8%
RaceHispanic or Latino8.2%
RaceTwo or more races7.1%
OriginForeign-born4.5%
LanguageSpeaks English only at home91.7%
LanguageSpeaks Spanish at home6.8%
EducationHigh school or higher53.8%
EducationBachelor's or higher20.3%
EducationAdvanced degree6.7%
HouseholdFamily households64.7%
HouseholdAvg household size2.38
HouseholdNever married (15+)33.5%
HousingMedian home value$167,000
HousingMedian gross rent$907
HousingSingle-family detached65.1%
HousingBuilt before 19404.0%
HousingOvercrowded (>1 per room)2.4%
HousingVacant units15.3%
ServiceVeterans (18+)8.7%
HealthWith a disability17.7%
ConnectivityHouseholds with broadband84.3%
ConnectivityHouseholds with no internet13.3%
CommuteDrove alone79.5%
CommutePublic transit0.3%
CommuteWorked from home7.5%

Elections

Committees

No committees on file.

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 25.1%

FeatureΞ” P(win)
Base rate (historical)15.1%
R (major party)+10.0%

Baseline model (incumbency Γ— party Γ— office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

DateFrom committeeTypeAmount
2022-01-03VICTORY AND NATION PAC24K$2,900

Connected on the graph

Inbound (1)

datefromtypeamountrolesource
2022-01-03VICTORY AND NATION PACcontributed_to$2,900pas2

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