ELLMERS, RENEE JACISIN
R Β· house Β· bioguide E000291
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- FEC candidate id
H0NC02059- Internal id
be35cb6c-d5d1-46db-b4f4-f809bdda528c- Status
- open seat
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), NC-13. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 792,542 |
| People | Median age | 39 |
| Income | Median household income | $81,810 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $39,879 |
| Income | In poverty | 11.5% |
| Income | Unemployed | 4.1% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.443 |
| Race | White alone | 64.5% |
| Race | Black alone | 18.8% |
| Race | Asian alone | 1.1% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 14.0% |
| Race | Two or more races | 8.6% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 7.5% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 87.2% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 10.7% |
| Education | High school or higher | 57.6% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 31.5% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 10.5% |
| Household | Family households | 72.6% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.68 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 28.3% |
| Housing | Median home value | $305,600 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,098 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 75.2% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 2.1% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 2.3% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 7.8% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 8.2% |
| Health | With a disability | 13.9% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 88.6% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 7.7% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 74.5% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.1% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 15.6% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | $0 | $372 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| 2022 | $91,536 | $91,165 | $372 | $102,500 | $20,971 |
| 2018 | $0 | $1,495 | $0 | $20,386 | $0 |
| 2016 | $1,393,533 | $1,544,184 | $1,495 | $21,388 | $282,387 |
| 2014 | $1,844,809 | $1,820,394 | $152,146 | $0 | $539,996 |
| 2012 | $1,086,870 | $1,190,907 | $127,731 | $44,298 | $455,927 |
| 2010 | $1,139,876 | $908,108 | $231,768 | $40,227 | $668,267 |
Elections
- 2010 general house Β· NC-2 β won
- 2010 general house Β· NC-13 β running
- 2012 general house Β· NC-13 β running
- 2012 general house Β· NC-2 β won
- 2014 general house Β· NC-2 β won
- 2014 general house Β· NC-13 β running
- 2016 general house Β· NC-2 β won
- 2016 general house Β· NC-13 β running
- 2022 general house Β· NC-13 β lost_general
Committees
- 2015 SXSW GOP COMMITTEE β joint_fundraising Β· type H
- COBLE-ELLMERS MAJORITY COMMITTEE β joint_fundraising Β· type H
- ELLMERS FOR NC β principal Β· type H
- FRESHMAN AGRICULTURAL REPUBLICAN MEMBERS TRUST AKA FARM TRUST β joint_fundraising Β· type H
- RENEE ELLMERS FOR CONGRESS COMMITTEE β principal Β· type H
- ROUZER ELLMERS JFC β joint_fundraising Β· type H
- TEAM ELLMERS COMMITTEE β joint_fundraising Β· type N
- TRIANGLE CONGRESSIONAL VICTORY COMMITTEE β joint_fundraising Β· type N
Recent votes
No votes on file.
Sponsored & cosponsored bills
No sponsorships on file.
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 20.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
| open seat | -5.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Independent expenditures
Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).
| Cycle | Support | Oppose | IEs |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | $0 | $31,673 | 2 |
Recent (latest 25)
| Date | Spender | For / against | Amount | Purpose |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-05-09 | OLD NORTH PAC | oppose | $15,837 | Mail Production, Printing, & Postage |
| 2022-05-05 | OLD NORTH PAC | oppose | $15,837 | Mail Production, Printing, & Postage |
Transfers from committees
Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).
| Date | From committee | Type | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-05-09 | OLD NORTH PAC | 24A | $15,836 |
| 2022-05-05 | OLD NORTH PAC | 24A | $15,836 |
| 2022-02-14 | THE FUND FOR AMERICAN EXCEPTIONALISM | 24K | $1,000 |
Connected on the graph
Inbound (5)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-05-09 | OLD NORTH ACTION | contributed_to | $15,836 | pas2 | |
| 2022-05-09 | OLD NORTH ACTION | opposes_independently | $15,837 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-05-05 | OLD NORTH ACTION | contributed_to | $15,836 | pas2 | |
| 2022-05-05 | OLD NORTH ACTION | opposes_independently | $15,837 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-02-14 | AMERICAN EXCEPTIONALISM POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 |
Outbound (8)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | ROUZER ELLMERS JFC | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | FRESHMAN AGRICULTURAL REPUBLICAN MEMBERS TRUST AKA FARM TRUST | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | COBLE-ELLMERS MAJORITY COMMITTEE | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | TRIANGLE CONGRESSIONAL VICTORY COMMITTEE | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | TEAM ELLMERS COMMITTEE | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | 2015 SXSW GOP COMMITTEE | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | principal_candidate_of | RENEE ELLMERS FOR CONGRESS COMMITTEE | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | principal_candidate_of | ELLMERS FOR NC | β | candidate_committees |