SMITH, SANDY

R · house

FEC candidate id: H0NC03149
Internal id: ae7c7405-67ad-4632-9d43-7004805b1c09
Status: challenger

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here — American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), NC-01. Source.

Category	Metric	Value
People	Population	747,584
People	Median age	42
Income	Median household income	$56,285
Income	Per-capita income	$31,830
Income	In poverty	17.6%
Income	Unemployed	6.2%
Income	Gini inequality index	0.465
Race	White alone	48.4%
Race	Black alone	39.1%
Race	Asian alone	0.8%
Race	Hispanic or Latino	8.2%
Race	Two or more races	7.1%
Origin	Foreign-born	4.5%
Language	Speaks English only at home	91.7%
Language	Speaks Spanish at home	6.8%
Education	High school or higher	53.8%
Education	Bachelor's or higher	20.3%
Education	Advanced degree	6.7%
Household	Family households	64.7%
Household	Avg household size	2.38
Household	Never married (15+)	33.5%
Housing	Median home value	$167,000
Housing	Median gross rent	$907
Housing	Single-family detached	65.1%
Housing	Built before 1940	4.0%
Housing	Overcrowded (>1 per room)	2.4%
Housing	Vacant units	15.3%
Service	Veterans (18+)	8.7%
Health	With a disability	17.7%
Connectivity	Households with broadband	84.3%
Connectivity	Households with no internet	13.3%
Commute	Drove alone	79.5%
Commute	Public transit	0.3%
Commute	Worked from home	7.5%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

Cycle	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand	Debts	Indiv. contribs.
2026	$0	$0	$145	$180,984	$0
2024	$948,027	$960,673	$145	$180,984	$487,161
2022	$2,187,047	$2,194,827	$12,791	$133,435	$1,353,811
2020	$1,703,669	$1,683,099	$20,570	$110,474	$1,357,172

Elections

2020 general house · NC-1 — lost_general
2022 general house · NC-1 — lost_general
2024 general house · NC-1 — lost_general

Committees

SANDY SMITH FOR CONGRESS, INC. — principal · type H

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 25.1%

Feature	Δ P(win)
Base rate (historical)	15.1%
R (major party)	+10.0%

Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Independent expenditures

Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).

Cycle	Support	Oppose	IEs
2024	$67,577	$0	3
2022	$38,598	$4,612,276	54

Recent (latest 25)

Date	Spender	For / against	Amount	Purpose
—	ROLLING SEA ACTION FUND	support	$48,339	Radio Advertisement
—	NRDC ACTION VOTES	oppose	$37,000	Ad Buy (Estimate)
—	HMP	oppose	$280,566	Television Advertising - Estimate
—	NRDC ACTION VOTES	oppose	$3,000	Ad Production (Estimate)
—	HMP	oppose	$375	Media Production - Estimate
—	HMP	oppose	$36,712	Direct Mail - Estimate
—	HMP	oppose	$34,868	Direct Mail - Estimate
—	HMP	oppose	$427,763	Television Advertising - Estimate
—	HMP	oppose	$12,404	Media Production - Estimate
—	HMP	oppose	$64,688	Digital Advertising - Estimate
—	HMP	oppose	$55,938	Digital Advertising - Estimate
—	HMP	oppose	$79,688	Digital Advertising - Estimate
—	HMP	oppose	$143,750	Canvassing - Estimate
—	HMP	oppose	$51,250	Digital Advertising - Estimate
—	HMP	oppose	$34,868	Direct Mail - Estimate
—	HMP	oppose	$34,868	Direct Mail - Estimate
—	HMP	oppose	$451,963	Television Advertising - Estimate
—	DEFENDING THE REPUBLIC PAC INC.	support	$750	Creation of micro-site
—	HMP	oppose	$73,438	Digital Advertising - Estimate
—	FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND	support	$1,218	IE- SMITH- TEXT MARKETING
—	FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND	support	$1,219	IE- SMITH- DIGITAL MARKETING
—	HMP	oppose	$375	Media Production - Estimate
—	HMP	oppose	$280,544	Television Advertising - Estimate
—	HMP	oppose	$28,325	Digital Production - Estimate
2024-03-04	TAXPAYERS AGAINST WOKENESS	support	$4,736	Radio Advertising

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

Date	From committee	Type	Amount
—	HMP	24A	$36,712
—	HMP	24A	$34,867
—	HMP	24A	$51,250
—	HMP	24A	$34,867
2022-12-31	WINRED	24K	$-2
2022-12-31	WINRED	24K	$-6
2022-12-19	WINRED	24K	$-2
2022-12-16	WINRED	24K	$-12
2022-12-05	WINRED	24K	$0
2022-11-28	WINRED	24K	$-2
2022-11-28	WINRED	24K	$-2
2022-11-25	WINRED	24K	$-3
2022-11-24	WINRED	24K	$0
2022-11-17	FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND	24E	$1
2022-11-17	WINRED	24K	$-3
2022-11-11	DEFENDING THE REPUBLIC PAC INC.	24E	$2
2022-11-10	WINRED	24K	$-30
2022-11-09	WINRED	24K	$0
2022-11-08	FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND	24E	$123
2022-11-07	HMP	24A	$375
2022-11-04	ADRIAN SMITH FOR CONGRESS	24K	$1,000
2022-11-03	FREEDOM FIRST PAC	24K	$2,000
2022-11-02	FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND	24E	$190
2022-11-02	WE THE PEOPLE LEADERSHIP PAC	24K	$2,000
2022-11-01	RVFPAC	24K	$2,000

Connected on the graph

Inbound (100)

date	from	type	amount	source
—	HMP	contributed_to	$51,250	pas2
—	HMP	contributed_to	$34,867	pas2
—	HMP	contributed_to	$36,712	pas2
—	HMP	contributed_to	$34,867	pas2
—	ROLLING SEA ACTION FUND	supports_independently	$48,339	fec_ies
—	NRDC ACTION VOTES	opposes_independently	$37,000	fec_ies
—	NRDC ACTION VOTES	opposes_independently	$3,000	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$427,763	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$36,712	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$34,868	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$143,750	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$79,688	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$451,963	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$28,325	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$51,250	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$375	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$73,438	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$34,868	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$375	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$280,566	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$55,938	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$12,404	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$34,868	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$280,544	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$64,688	fec_ies
—	FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND	supports_independently	$1,218	fec_ies
—	FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND	supports_independently	$1,219	fec_ies
—	DEFENDING THE REPUBLIC PAC INC.	supports_independently	$750	fec_ies
2024-03-04	TAXPAYERS AGAINST WOKENESS	supports_independently	$4,736	fec_ies
2024-02-27	TAXPAYERS AGAINST WOKENESS	supports_independently	$14,501	fec_ies
2022-12-31	WINRED	contributed_to	$-2	pas2
2022-12-31	WINRED	contributed_to	$-6	pas2
2022-12-19	WINRED	contributed_to	$-2	pas2
2022-12-16	WINRED	contributed_to	$-12	pas2
2022-12-05	WINRED	contributed_to	$0	pas2
2022-11-28	WINRED	contributed_to	$-2	pas2
2022-11-28	WINRED	contributed_to	$-2	pas2
2022-11-25	WINRED	contributed_to	$-3	pas2
2022-11-24	WINRED	contributed_to	$0	pas2
2022-11-17	WINRED	contributed_to	$-3	pas2
2022-11-17	FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND	contributed_to	$1	pas2
2022-11-11	DEFENDING THE REPUBLIC PAC INC.	contributed_to	$2	pas2
2022-11-10	WINRED	contributed_to	$-30	pas2
2022-11-09	WINRED	contributed_to	$0	pas2
2022-11-08	FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND	contributed_to	$123	pas2
2022-11-07	HMP	contributed_to	$375	pas2
2022-11-04	ADRIAN SMITH FOR CONGRESS	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-11-03	FREEDOM FIRST PAC	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2022-11-02	FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND	supports_independently	$190	fec_ies
2022-11-02	WE THE PEOPLE	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2022-11-02	FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND	contributed_to	$190	pas2
2022-11-01	HMP	contributed_to	$34,867	pas2
2022-11-01	HMP	contributed_to	$375	pas2
2022-11-01	HMP	contributed_to	$451,963	pas2
2022-11-01	NRDC ACTION VOTES	contributed_to	$37,000	pas2
2022-11-01	NRDC ACTION VOTES	contributed_to	$3,000	pas2
2022-11-01	RVFPAC	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2022-10-31	FIRST CAPITAL PAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-10-31	VOTEVETS	opposes_independently	$7,214	fec_ies
2022-10-31	VOTEVETS	contributed_to	$7,214	pas2
2022-10-31	HMP	contributed_to	$79,688	pas2
2022-10-28	BLACK AMERICANS MAKING AMERICA FIRST	supports_independently	$1,950	fec_ies
2022-10-28	BLACK AMERICANS MAKING AMERICA FIRST	contributed_to	$3,150	pas2
2022-10-28	BLACK AMERICANS MAKING AMERICA FIRST	supports_independently	$3,150	fec_ies
2022-10-28	BLACK AMERICANS MAKING AMERICA FIRST	contributed_to	$1,950	pas2
2022-10-27	VOTEVETS	opposes_independently	$150,000	fec_ies
2022-10-27	VOTEVETS	contributed_to	$150,000	pas2
2022-10-26	FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND	supports_independently	$213	fec_ies
2022-10-26	HUCK PAC FOR AMERICA	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2022-10-26	NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF MUTUAL INSURANCE COMPANIES PAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-10-26	FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND	contributed_to	$212	pas2
2022-10-25	HMP	contributed_to	$427,763	pas2
2022-10-24	DECIDING CRITICAL RACES PAC (DCR PAC)	contributed_to	$1,500	pas2
2022-10-24	ANDY HARRIS FOR CONGRESS	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2022-10-24	DEFENDING THE REPUBLIC PAC INC.	contributed_to	$750	pas2
2022-10-24	CHESAPEAKE FREEDOM PAC	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2022-10-21	VICTORY EAST	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-10-21	WOMEN SPEAK OUT PAC	supports_independently	$1,970	fec_ies
2022-10-21	AMERICAN GRIT PAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-10-21	WOMEN SPEAK OUT PAC	contributed_to	$1,970	pas2
2022-10-20	MAINSTREAM DEMOCRATS PAC	opposes_independently	$10,000	fec_ies
2022-10-20	MAINSTREAM DEMOCRATS PAC	opposes_independently	$61,921	fec_ies
2022-10-20	MAINSTREAM DEMOCRATS PAC	contributed_to	$61,921	pas2
2022-10-20	NATIONAL PRO-LIFE ALLIANCE PAC	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2022-10-20	MAINSTREAM DEMOCRATS PAC	contributed_to	$10,000	pas2
2022-10-20	HMP	contributed_to	$73,438	pas2
2022-10-19	FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND	supports_independently	$114	fec_ies
2022-10-19	FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND	contributed_to	$1,217	pas2
2022-10-19	FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND	contributed_to	$113	pas2
2022-10-19	TAR HEEL PROSPERITY PAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-10-19	FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND	contributed_to	$1,218	pas2
2022-10-18	HMP	contributed_to	$280,544	pas2
2022-10-18	HMP	contributed_to	$64,688	pas2
2022-10-17	VICTORY AND FREEDOM PAC (VAF PAC)	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2022-10-17	BE VICTORIOUS OVER DEMOCRATS PAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-10-14	VA CONSERVATIVE LEADERSHIP FUND	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2022-10-14	CLUB FOR GROWTH PAC	contributed_to	$8	pas2
2022-10-14	DEFENDING THE REPUBLIC PAC INC.	contributed_to	$5	pas2
2022-10-13	HEARTDOCPAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-10-12	FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND	supports_independently	$149	fec_ies

Outbound (1)

date	type	to	amount	role	source
—	principal_candidate_of	SANDY SMITH FOR CONGRESS, INC.	—		candidate_committees

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