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CAWTHORN, DAVID MADISON

R Β· house Β· bioguide C001104

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FEC candidate id
H0NC11233
Internal id
af47fa7f-3206-4194-9ef8-592e6167492c
Status
incumbent

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here β€” American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), NC-11. Source.

CategoryMetricValue
PeoplePopulation758,211
PeopleMedian age45
IncomeMedian household income$65,577
IncomePer-capita income$39,018
IncomeIn poverty12.6%
IncomeUnemployed4.1%
IncomeGini inequality index0.471
RaceWhite alone84.3%
RaceBlack alone3.2%
RaceAsian alone0.9%
RaceHispanic or Latino8.1%
RaceTwo or more races7.4%
OriginForeign-born5.4%
LanguageSpeaks English only at home92.1%
LanguageSpeaks Spanish at home5.7%
EducationHigh school or higher62.3%
EducationBachelor's or higher35.7%
EducationAdvanced degree14.0%
HouseholdFamily households63.6%
HouseholdAvg household size2.38
HouseholdNever married (15+)29.1%
HousingMedian home value$310,400
HousingMedian gross rent$1,107
HousingSingle-family detached69.3%
HousingBuilt before 19403.7%
HousingOvercrowded (>1 per room)1.8%
HousingVacant units24.8%
ServiceVeterans (18+)7.6%
HealthWith a disability15.7%
ConnectivityHouseholds with broadband86.6%
ConnectivityHouseholds with no internet10.5%
CommuteDrove alone75.3%
CommutePublic transit0.3%
CommuteWorked from home12.5%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

CycleRaisedSpentCash on handDebtsIndiv. contribs.
2020$4,718,102$4,612,371$105,731$186,370$4,050,110

Elections

Committees

Recent votes

No votes on file.

Sponsored & cosponsored bills

No sponsorships on file.

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 99.0%

FeatureΞ” P(win)
Base rate (historical)15.1%
incumbent+78.0%
R (major party)+10.0%

Baseline model (incumbency Γ— party Γ— office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Independent expenditures

Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).

CycleSupportOpposeIEs
2022$28,607$1,249,30742

Recent (latest 25)

DateSpenderFor / againstAmountPurpose
2022-05-16FIGHT TO WIN AMERICA, INC.oppose$5,000VOTER CONTACT: CANVASSING
2022-05-14RESULTS FOR NC, INC.oppose$11,324DIGITAL ADVERTISING
2022-05-13FIGHT TO WIN AMERICA, INC.oppose$4,000PRODUCTION COST: DIGITAL ADS
2022-05-13FIGHT TO WIN AMERICA, INC.oppose$7,500DIGITAL ADVERTISING
2022-05-12RESULTS FOR NC, INC.oppose$90,000PLACED MEDIA: TV
2022-05-12RESULTS FOR NC, INC.oppose$4,000PRODUCTION COST: DIGITAL ADS
2022-05-11RESULTS FOR NC, INC.oppose$22,755PLACED MEDIA: DIGITAL ADVERTISING
2022-05-10FIGHT TO WIN AMERICA, INC.oppose$1,430PRINT ADVERTISING: DOORHANGERS
2022-05-09RESULTS FOR NC, INC.oppose$19,000PRODUCTION COST: TV AND RADIO ADS
2022-05-09RESULTS FOR NC, INC.oppose$31,000PLACED MEDIA: RADIO
2022-05-09RESULTS FOR NC, INC.oppose$37,125DIGITAL VOTER CONTACT
2022-05-09RESULTS FOR NC, INC.oppose$64,500PLACED MEDIA: TV
2022-05-09RESULTS FOR NC, INC.oppose$238,000PLACED MEDIA: TV
2022-05-09FIGHT TO WIN AMERICA, INC.oppose$5,000VOTER CONTACT: CANVASSING
2022-05-09AMERICAN MUCKRAKERS PACoppose$2,498Newspaper Advertising
2022-05-06RESULTS FOR NC, INC.oppose$4,950TEXT MESSAGES
2022-05-06RESULTS FOR NC, INC.oppose$24,099DIRECT MAIL & POSTAGE
2022-05-05DRAIN THE DC SWAMP PACsupport$28,607Direct Mail
2022-05-02RESULTS FOR NC, INC.oppose$31,000PLACED MEDIA: RADIO
2022-05-02RESULTS FOR NC, INC.oppose$3,000PRODUCTION COST: RADIO AD
2022-05-02FUTURE FIRST LEADERSHIP PACoppose$15,597DIRECT MARKETING
2022-05-02RESULTS FOR NC, INC.oppose$10,000PRODUCTION COST: TV AD
2022-05-02RESULTS FOR NC, INC.oppose$238,000PLACED MEDIA: TV
2022-04-30RESULTS FOR NC, INC.oppose$4,950DIGITAL VOTER CONTACT
2022-04-29RESULTS FOR NC, INC.oppose$131,476DIRECT MAIL & POSTAGE

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

DateFrom committeeTypeAmount
2022-05-16FIGHT TO WIN AMERICA, INC.24A$5,000
2022-05-14RESULTS FOR NC, INC.24A$11,324
2022-05-13FIGHT TO WIN AMERICA, INC.24A$7,500
2022-05-13FIGHT TO WIN AMERICA, INC.24A$4,000
2022-05-12RESULTS FOR NC, INC.24A$90,000
2022-05-12RESULTS FOR NC, INC.24A$4,000
2022-05-11RESULTS FOR NC, INC.24A$22,754
2022-05-10FIGHT TO WIN AMERICA, INC.24A$1,430
2022-05-09RESULTS FOR NC, INC.24A$19,000
2022-05-09RESULTS FOR NC, INC.24A$37,125
2022-05-09FIGHT TO WIN AMERICA, INC.24A$5,000
2022-05-09RESULTS FOR NC, INC.24A$64,500
2022-05-09RESULTS FOR NC, INC.24A$238,000
2022-05-09RESULTS FOR NC, INC.24A$31,000
2022-05-09AMERICAN MUCKRAKERS PAC24A$2,498
2022-05-06RESULTS FOR NC, INC.24A$4,950
2022-05-06RESULTS FOR NC, INC.24A$24,098
2022-05-05DRAIN THE DC SWAMP PAC24E$28,606
2022-05-02RESULTS FOR NC, INC.24A$238,000
2022-05-02RESULTS FOR NC, INC.24A$3,000
2022-05-02RESULTS FOR NC, INC.24A$4,950
2022-05-02RESULTS FOR NC, INC.24A$31,000
2022-05-02RESULTS FOR NC, INC.24A$10,000
2022-05-02FUTURE FIRST LEADERSHIP PAC24A$15,596
2022-04-30RESULTS FOR NC, INC.24A$4,950

Connected on the graph

Inbound (98)

datefromtypeamountrolesource
2022-05-16FIGHT TO WIN AMERICA, INC.opposes_independently$5,000fec_ies
2022-05-16FIGHT TO WIN AMERICA, INC.contributed_to$5,000pas2
2022-05-14RESULTS FOR NC, INC.opposes_independently$11,324fec_ies
2022-05-14RESULTS FOR NC, INC.contributed_to$11,324pas2
2022-05-13FIGHT TO WIN AMERICA, INC.contributed_to$4,000pas2
2022-05-13FIGHT TO WIN AMERICA, INC.opposes_independently$7,500fec_ies
2022-05-13FIGHT TO WIN AMERICA, INC.opposes_independently$4,000fec_ies
2022-05-13FIGHT TO WIN AMERICA, INC.contributed_to$7,500pas2
2022-05-12RESULTS FOR NC, INC.opposes_independently$90,000fec_ies
2022-05-12RESULTS FOR NC, INC.contributed_to$90,000pas2
2022-05-12RESULTS FOR NC, INC.opposes_independently$4,000fec_ies
2022-05-12RESULTS FOR NC, INC.contributed_to$4,000pas2
2022-05-11RESULTS FOR NC, INC.opposes_independently$22,755fec_ies
2022-05-11RESULTS FOR NC, INC.contributed_to$22,754pas2
2022-05-10FIGHT TO WIN AMERICA, INC.contributed_to$1,430pas2
2022-05-10FIGHT TO WIN AMERICA, INC.opposes_independently$1,430fec_ies
2022-05-09RESULTS FOR NC, INC.contributed_to$37,125pas2
2022-05-09AMERICAN MUCKRAKERS PACcontributed_to$2,498pas2
2022-05-09FIGHT TO WIN AMERICA, INC.contributed_to$5,000pas2
2022-05-09FIGHT TO WIN AMERICA, INC.opposes_independently$5,000fec_ies
2022-05-09RESULTS FOR NC, INC.opposes_independently$19,000fec_ies
2022-05-09RESULTS FOR NC, INC.opposes_independently$31,000fec_ies
2022-05-09RESULTS FOR NC, INC.opposes_independently$37,125fec_ies
2022-05-09RESULTS FOR NC, INC.opposes_independently$64,500fec_ies
2022-05-09RESULTS FOR NC, INC.opposes_independently$238,000fec_ies
2022-05-09AMERICAN MUCKRAKERS PACopposes_independently$2,498fec_ies
2022-05-09RESULTS FOR NC, INC.contributed_to$19,000pas2
2022-05-09RESULTS FOR NC, INC.contributed_to$64,500pas2
2022-05-09RESULTS FOR NC, INC.contributed_to$31,000pas2
2022-05-09RESULTS FOR NC, INC.contributed_to$238,000pas2
2022-05-06RESULTS FOR NC, INC.contributed_to$24,098pas2
2022-05-06RESULTS FOR NC, INC.contributed_to$4,950pas2
2022-05-06RESULTS FOR NC, INC.opposes_independently$24,099fec_ies
2022-05-06RESULTS FOR NC, INC.opposes_independently$4,950fec_ies
2022-05-05DRAIN THE DC SWAMP PACcontributed_to$28,606pas2
2022-05-05DRAIN THE DC SWAMP PACsupports_independently$28,607fec_ies
2022-05-02RESULTS FOR NC, INC.opposes_independently$10,000fec_ies
2022-05-02RESULTS FOR NC, INC.contributed_to$3,000pas2
2022-05-02RESULTS FOR NC, INC.contributed_to$10,000pas2
2022-05-02FUTURE FIRST LEADERSHIP PACopposes_independently$15,597fec_ies
2022-05-02RESULTS FOR NC, INC.opposes_independently$238,000fec_ies
2022-05-02FUTURE FIRST LEADERSHIP PACcontributed_to$15,596pas2
2022-05-02RESULTS FOR NC, INC.contributed_to$4,950pas2
2022-05-02RESULTS FOR NC, INC.opposes_independently$31,000fec_ies
2022-05-02RESULTS FOR NC, INC.opposes_independently$3,000fec_ies
2022-05-02RESULTS FOR NC, INC.contributed_to$31,000pas2
2022-05-02RESULTS FOR NC, INC.contributed_to$238,000pas2
2022-04-30RESULTS FOR NC, INC.opposes_independently$4,950fec_ies
2022-04-30RESULTS FOR NC, INC.contributed_to$4,950pas2
2022-04-29RESULTS FOR NC, INC.opposes_independently$131,476fec_ies
2022-04-29RESULTS FOR NC, INC.contributed_to$131,476pas2
2022-04-27FUTURE FIRST LEADERSHIP PACopposes_independently$15,597fec_ies
2022-04-27AMERICAN MUCKRAKERS PACopposes_independently$2,037fec_ies
2022-04-27RESULTS FOR NC, INC.opposes_independently$2,000fec_ies
2022-04-27RESULTS FOR NC, INC.opposes_independently$8,750fec_ies
2022-04-27RESULTS FOR NC, INC.contributed_to$8,750pas2
2022-04-27RESULTS FOR NC, INC.contributed_to$2,000pas2
2022-04-27AMERICAN MUCKRAKERS PACcontributed_to$2,037pas2
2022-04-27FUTURE FIRST LEADERSHIP PACcontributed_to$15,596pas2
2022-04-26RESULTS FOR NC, INC.opposes_independently$4,950fec_ies
2022-04-26RESULTS FOR NC, INC.contributed_to$4,950pas2
2022-04-25RESULTS FOR NC, INC.contributed_to$32,943pas2
2022-04-25RESULTS FOR NC, INC.contributed_to$14,641pas2
2022-04-25RESULTS FOR NC, INC.contributed_to$4,950pas2
2022-04-25RESULTS FOR NC, INC.opposes_independently$32,944fec_ies
2022-04-25RESULTS FOR NC, INC.opposes_independently$32,944fec_ies
2022-04-25RESULTS FOR NC, INC.opposes_independently$25,623fec_ies
2022-04-25RESULTS FOR NC, INC.opposes_independently$14,642fec_ies
2022-04-25RESULTS FOR NC, INC.opposes_independently$14,642fec_ies
2022-04-25RESULTS FOR NC, INC.opposes_independently$4,950fec_ies
2022-04-25RESULTS FOR NC, INC.contributed_to$14,641pas2
2022-04-25RESULTS FOR NC, INC.contributed_to$25,623pas2
2022-04-25RESULTS FOR NC, INC.contributed_to$32,943pas2
2022-04-22RESULTS FOR NC, INC.opposes_independently$38,538fec_ies
2022-04-22RESULTS FOR NC, INC.contributed_to$33,831pas2
2022-04-22RESULTS FOR NC, INC.contributed_to$38,538pas2
2022-04-22RESULTS FOR NC, INC.opposes_independently$33,831fec_ies
2022-04-21RESULTS FOR NC, INC.contributed_to$250,000pas2
2022-04-21RESULTS FOR NC, INC.contributed_to$60,000pas2
2022-04-21RESULTS FOR NC, INC.contributed_to$8,000pas2
2022-02-23FREEDOM CAUCUS FUNDcontributed_to$290pas2
2022-02-15VOTE LOCAL VOTE BLUEcontributed_to$1,655pas2
2022-02-09FREEDOM CAUCUS FUNDcontributed_to$291pas2
2022-02-02FREEDOM CAUCUS FUNDcontributed_to$100pas2
2021-10-04AMERICAN MUCKRAKERS PACcontributed_to$600pas2
2021-10-04AMERICAN MUCKRAKERS PACopposes_independently$600fec_ies
2021-10-01AMERICAN MUCKRAKERS PACcontributed_to$2,000pas2
2021-10-01AMERICAN MUCKRAKERS PACopposes_independently$2,000fec_ies
2021-09-22REALLY AMERICAN PACcontributed_to$200pas2
2021-09-13VOTE LOCAL VOTE BLUEcontributed_to$3,550pas2
2021-09-07REALLY AMERICAN PACcontributed_to$5,000pas2
2021-06-29AMERICAN MUCKRAKERS PACopposes_independently$4,055fec_ies
2021-06-29AMERICAN MUCKRAKERS PACcontributed_to$5,000pas2
2021-06-29AMERICAN MUCKRAKERS PACcontributed_to$4,055pas2
2021-06-29AMERICAN MUCKRAKERS PACopposes_independently$5,000fec_ies
2021-06-21VOTE LOCAL VOTE BLUEcontributed_to$2,455pas2
2021-06-11PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTEScontributed_to$8pas2
2021-05-21VOTE LOCAL VOTE BLUEcontributed_to$2,360pas2

Outbound (2)

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β€”leadership_committee_ofMAKING A DIFFERENCE IN SERVICE TO OUR NATIONβ€”candidate_committees
β€”principal_candidate_ofMAKING A DIFFERENCE IN SERVICE TO OUR NATIONβ€”candidate_committees

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