JAMES, MARK

— · house

FEC candidate id: H0NV00054
Internal id: 984bdbd6-a661-4fe9-ad88-978c98bb49fb
Status: challenger

Elections

No elections on file.

Committees

DRAFT MARK JAMES FOR CONGRESS — independent · type U

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 15.1%

Feature	Δ P(win)
Base rate (historical)	15.1%

Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Connected on the graph

Outbound (1)

date	type	to	amount	role	source
—	independent_committee_of	DRAFT MARK JAMES FOR CONGRESS	—		candidate_committees

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