MARCHANT, JIM

R · house

FEC candidate id: H0NV04015
Internal id: fea4cfc4-0fd2-4e69-809e-9dd708c7a423
Status: challenger

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here — American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), NV-04. Source.

Category	Metric	Value
People	Population	813,654
People	Median age	37
Income	Median household income	$74,580
Income	Per-capita income	$34,786
Income	In poverty	13.6%
Income	Unemployed	7.8%
Income	Gini inequality index	0.441
Race	White alone	42.4%
Race	Black alone	15.6%
Race	Asian alone	5.7%
Race	Hispanic or Latino	35.9%
Race	Two or more races	19.3%
Origin	Foreign-born	17.8%
Language	Speaks English only at home	68.5%
Language	Speaks Spanish at home	25.7%
Education	High school or higher	52.2%
Education	Bachelor's or higher	21.2%
Education	Advanced degree	7.2%
Household	Family households	67.8%
Household	Avg household size	2.84
Household	Never married (15+)	36.4%
Housing	Median home value	$393,900
Housing	Median gross rent	$1,570
Housing	Single-family detached	66.6%
Housing	Built before 1940	0.7%
Housing	Overcrowded (>1 per room)	4.9%
Housing	Vacant units	8.3%
Service	Veterans (18+)	8.9%
Health	With a disability	14.4%
Connectivity	Households with broadband	91.5%
Connectivity	Households with no internet	5.9%
Commute	Drove alone	73.5%
Commute	Public transit	2.0%
Commute	Worked from home	9.4%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

Cycle	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand	Debts	Indiv. contribs.
2022	$629	$43,996	$0	$0	$0
2020	$1,594,082	$1,550,715	$43,367	$0	$1,260,158

Elections

2020 general house · NV-4 — lost_general

Committees

MARCHANT FOR CONGRESS — principal · type H
MARCHANT FOR NV-04 — principal · type H

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 25.1%

Feature	Δ P(win)
Base rate (historical)	15.1%
R (major party)	+10.0%

Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

Date	From committee	Type	Amount
—	FOR OUR FUTURE	24A	$-63
2021-10-04	WINRED	24K	$-1
2021-06-11	PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTES	24A	$8
2021-01-28	WINRED	24K	$9
2021-01-15	WINRED	24K	$6
2021-01-13	WINRED	24K	$6
2021-01-04	WINRED	24K	$8
2021-01-03	WINRED	24K	$0
2021-01-01	FOR OUR FUTURE	24A	$17
2021-01-01	WINRED	24K	$2

Connected on the graph

Inbound (17)

date	from	type	amount	role	source
—	FOR OUR FUTURE	contributed_to	$-63		pas2
2021-10-04	WINRED	contributed_to	$-1		pas2
2021-06-11	PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTES	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$8	24A	fec_pas2
2021-06-11	PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTES	contributed_to	$8		pas2
2021-01-28	WINRED	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$9	24K	fec_pas2
2021-01-28	WINRED	contributed_to	$9		pas2
2021-01-15	WINRED	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$6	24K	fec_pas2
2021-01-15	WINRED	contributed_to	$6		pas2
2021-01-13	WINRED	contributed_to	$6		pas2
2021-01-13	WINRED	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$6	24K	fec_pas2
2021-01-04	WINRED	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$8	24K	fec_pas2
2021-01-04	WINRED	contributed_to	$8		pas2
2021-01-03	WINRED	contributed_to	$0		pas2
2021-01-01	WINRED	contributed_to	$2		pas2
2021-01-01	WINRED	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$2	24K	fec_pas2
2021-01-01	FOR OUR FUTURE	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$17	24A	fec_pas2
2021-01-01	FOR OUR FUTURE	contributed_to	$17		pas2

Outbound (2)

date	type	to	amount	role	source
—	principal_candidate_of	MARCHANT FOR NV-04	—		candidate_committees
—	principal_candidate_of	MARCHANT FOR CONGRESS	—		candidate_committees

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