CUMMINGS, JOHN C.
R Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H0NY14296- Internal id
8213db44-f944-4389-9f89-a054797088f9- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), NY-14. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 718,731 |
| People | Median age | 37 |
| Income | Median household income | $67,549 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $35,270 |
| Income | In poverty | 19.8% |
| Income | Unemployed | 9.1% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.495 |
| Race | White alone | 23.1% |
| Race | Black alone | 16.0% |
| Race | Asian alone | 11.8% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 52.9% |
| Race | Two or more races | 15.3% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 39.0% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 37.8% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 43.6% |
| Education | High school or higher | 56.1% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 29.5% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 10.8% |
| Household | Family households | 62.5% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.62 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 45.7% |
| Housing | Median home value | $660,100 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,753 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 7.9% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 12.6% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 11.9% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 9.0% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 1.7% |
| Health | With a disability | 13.5% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 89.5% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 8.0% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 24.1% |
| Commute | Public transit | 49.6% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 11.7% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | $30 | $1,113 | $2,587 | $0 | $30 |
| 2022 | $13,018 | $202,576 | $3,670 | $0 | $11,926 |
| 2020 | $11,208,557 | $11,015,378 | $193,228 | $0 | $11,200,458 |
Elections
- 2020 general house Β· NY-14 β lost_general
Committees
- CUMMINGS FOR CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Transfers from committees
Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).
| Date | From committee | Type | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-06-11 | PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTES | 24A | $8 |
Connected on the graph
Inbound (2)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-06-11 | PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTES | committee_contributed_to_candidate | $8 | 24A | fec_pas2 |
| 2021-06-11 | PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTES | contributed_to | $8 | pas2 |
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | CUMMINGS FOR CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees |