SERRANO, JOSE E.
D Β· house Β· bioguide S000248
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- FEC candidate id
H0NY18065- Internal id
2c78c7a3-2cef-468d-8ae8-5dd9189c5780- Status
- incumbent
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), NY-15. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 751,695 |
| People | Median age | 36 |
| Income | Median household income | $47,075 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $27,148 |
| Income | In poverty | 29.8% |
| Income | Unemployed | 12.1% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.533 |
| Race | White alone | 13.6% |
| Race | Black alone | 36.3% |
| Race | Asian alone | 2.9% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 52.4% |
| Race | Two or more races | 15.2% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 34.6% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 44.6% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 43.2% |
| Education | High school or higher | 50.2% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 22.3% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 8.7% |
| Household | Family households | 61.0% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.50 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 50.5% |
| Housing | Median home value | $532,500 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,418 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 5.6% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 9.9% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 12.2% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 4.1% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 1.8% |
| Health | With a disability | 18.9% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 86.3% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 9.8% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 21.7% |
| Commute | Public transit | 53.7% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 9.0% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | $0 | $36,094 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| 2020 | $17,751 | $47,068 | $36,094 | $0 | $1,251 |
| 2018 | $261,011 | $238,235 | $65,411 | $0 | $68,429 |
| 2016 | $276,469 | $276,836 | $42,635 | $0 | $73,269 |
| 2014 | $192,203 | $165,919 | $43,002 | $0 | $25,828 |
| 2012 | $212,068 | $209,532 | $16,718 | $0 | $34,318 |
| 2010 | $373,374 | $385,796 | $14,182 | $2,500 | $133,925 |
| 2008 | $410,513 | $386,739 | $26,604 | $0 | $129,136 |
| 2006 | $312,398 | $314,385 | $2,829 | $0 | $162,085 |
| 2004 | $244,717 | $351,851 | $4,816 | $0 | $74,335 |
| 2002 | $270,127 | $214,155 | $111,951 | $0 | $95,870 |
| 2000 | $187,694 | $188,992 | $55,979 | $0 | $37,175 |
| 1998 | $114,291 | $71,281 | $57,281 | $0 | $24,970 |
| 1996 | $75,611 | $149,752 | $14,275 | $0 | $13,345 |
| 1994 | $172,030 | $125,441 | $88,416 | $0 | $71,400 |
| 1992 | $116,483 | $98,714 | $41,830 | $0 | $19,190 |
| 1990 | $354,385 | $330,315 | $24,064 | $5,000 | $110,950 |
Elections
- 1990 general house Β· NY-18 β won
- 1992 general house Β· NY-16 β won
- 1994 general house Β· NY-16 β won
- 1996 general house Β· NY-16 β won
- 1998 general house Β· NY-16 β won
- 2000 general house Β· NY-16 β won
- 2002 general house Β· NY-16 β won
- 2004 general house Β· NY-16 β won
- 2006 general house Β· NY-16 β won
- 2008 general house Β· NY-16 β won
- 2010 general house Β· NY-16 β won
- 2012 general house Β· NY-15 β won
- 2014 general house Β· NY-15 β won
- 2016 general house Β· NY-15 β won
- 2018 general house Β· NY-15 β won
- 2020 general house Β· NY-15 β lost_general
Committees
- SERRANO FOR CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
Recent votes
No votes on file.
Sponsored & cosponsored bills
No sponsorships on file.
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 99.0%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| incumbent | +78.0% |
| D (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (24)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | affiliated_with | Congressional Progressive Caucus | β | wikidata | |
| β | educated_at | Lehman College | β | wikidata | |
| β | principal_candidate_of | SERRANO FOR CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees | |
| 2019-01-03 | held_position | United States representative | β | wikidata | |
| 2017-01-03 | held_position | United States representative | β | wikidata | |
| 2015-01-06 | held_position | United States representative | β | wikidata | |
| 2013-01-03 | held_position | United States representative | β | wikidata | |
| 2011-01-05 | held_position | United States representative | β | wikidata | |
| 2009-01-06 | held_position | United States representative | β | wikidata | |
| 2007-01-04 | held_position | United States representative | β | wikidata | |
| 2005-01-04 | held_position | United States representative | β | wikidata | |
| 2003-01-07 | held_position | United States representative | β | wikidata | |
| 2001-01-03 | held_position | United States representative | β | wikidata | |
| 1999-01-06 | held_position | United States representative | β | wikidata | |
| 1997-01-07 | held_position | United States representative | β | wikidata | |
| 1995-01-04 | held_position | United States representative | β | wikidata | |
| 1993-01-05 | held_position | United States representative | β | wikidata | |
| 1991-01-03 | held_position | United States representative | β | wikidata | |
| 1990-03-20 | held_position | United States representative | β | wikidata | |
| 1983-01-05 | held_position | member of the New York State Assembly | β | wikidata | |
| 1976-01-01 | held_position | delegate | β | wikidata | |
| 1975-01-01 | held_position | member of the New York State Assembly | β | wikidata | |
| 1969-01-01 | held_position | member of a board of education | β | wikidata | |
| 1964-01-01 | affiliated_with | 172nd Infantry Brigade | β | wikidata |