DI CARLO, NEIL ANTHONY
R Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H0NY19154- Internal id
90328573-8f34-407d-80ad-608e598693df- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), NY-19. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 774,788 |
| People | Median age | 42 |
| Income | Median household income | $73,134 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $41,734 |
| Income | In poverty | 14.5% |
| Income | Unemployed | 5.9% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.472 |
| Race | White alone | 81.7% |
| Race | Black alone | 4.4% |
| Race | Asian alone | 3.7% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 7.3% |
| Race | Two or more races | 7.1% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 7.4% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 89.2% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 4.1% |
| Education | High school or higher | 64.0% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 35.3% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 17.0% |
| Household | Family households | 58.6% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.26 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 36.5% |
| Housing | Median home value | $222,900 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,091 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 67.0% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 5.9% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 1.8% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 20.8% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 5.8% |
| Health | With a disability | 14.9% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 89.6% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 7.4% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 69.5% |
| Commute | Public transit | 2.2% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 13.6% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2012 | $1,044 | $48,910 | $0 | $0 | $5 |
| 2010 | $83,873 | $35,975 | $47,898 | $78,226 | $3,763 |
Elections
- 2010 general house Β· NY-19 β lost_general
Committees
- I AM YOU-NEIL DI CARLO FOR CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | I AM YOU-NEIL DI CARLO FOR CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees |