CRUMPACKER, JIMMY
R Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H0OR02168- Internal id
e433f97f-9569-4bd9-bdac-181199996e94- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), OR-05. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 714,831 |
| People | Median age | 42 |
| Income | Median household income | $93,030 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $50,416 |
| Income | In poverty | 9.3% |
| Income | Unemployed | 4.6% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.464 |
| Race | White alone | 81.5% |
| Race | Black alone | 1.0% |
| Race | Asian alone | 2.9% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 10.5% |
| Race | Two or more races | 10.3% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 6.8% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 89.7% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 6.1% |
| Education | High school or higher | 61.0% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 39.0% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 14.1% |
| Household | Family households | 66.5% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.50 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 28.5% |
| Housing | Median home value | $566,000 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,660 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 68.8% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 4.4% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 2.8% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 7.5% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 7.1% |
| Health | With a disability | 14.1% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 93.0% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 4.5% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 67.1% |
| Commute | Public transit | 1.1% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 20.1% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $0 | $0 | $10,974 | $235,100 | $0 |
| 2024 | $0 | $0 | $10,974 | $235,100 | $0 |
| 2022 | $482,798 | $471,824 | $10,974 | $235,100 | $480,798 |
| 2020 | $998,842 | $998,842 | $0 | $0 | $667,742 |
Elections
- 2020 general house Β· OR-2 β lost_general
- 2020 general house Β· OR-5 β running
- 2022 general house Β· OR-5 β lost_general
Committees
- CRUMPACKER FOR CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
- CRUMPACKER FOR CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Transfers from committees
Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).
| Date | From committee | Type | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-05-10 | BARTOS FOR US SENATE INC | 24K | $2,000 |
| 2022-04-30 | RIGHT TO LIFE/OREGON PAC | 24E | $16 |
| 2022-04-30 | RIGHT TO LIFE/OREGON PAC | 24E | $10 |
| 2022-04-27 | RIGHT TO LIFE/OREGON PAC | 24E | $460 |
| 2022-04-21 | RIGHT TO LIFE/OREGON PAC | 24E | $26 |
| 2022-04-14 | RIGHT TO LIFE/OREGON PAC | 24E | $283 |
Connected on the graph
Inbound (6)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-05-10 | BARTOS FOR US SENATE INC | contributed_to | $2,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-30 | RIGHT TO LIFE/OREGON PAC | contributed_to | $16 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-30 | RIGHT TO LIFE/OREGON PAC | contributed_to | $10 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-27 | RIGHT TO LIFE/OREGON PAC | contributed_to | $460 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-21 | RIGHT TO LIFE/OREGON PAC | contributed_to | $26 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-14 | RIGHT TO LIFE/OREGON PAC | contributed_to | $283 | pas2 |
Outbound (2)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | CRUMPACKER FOR CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | principal_candidate_of | CRUMPACKER FOR CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees |