HERNANDEZ-MAYORAL, JOSE A
D Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H0PR00051- Internal id
2ccfa47f-4048-4d79-8a67-e98bc1e18fc8- Status
- challenger
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $0 | $0 | $143 | $849,648 | $0 |
| 2024 | $0 | $0 | $143 | $758,401 | $0 |
| 2022 | $0 | $0 | $143 | $758,401 | $0 |
| 2020 | $3,000 | $3,000 | $143 | $758,401 | $3,000 |
| 2018 | $0 | $0 | $143 | $758,401 | $0 |
| 2016 | $0 | $0 | $143 | $758,401 | $0 |
| 2014 | $0 | $0 | $143 | $758,401 | $0 |
| 2012 | $0 | $0 | $143 | $758,401 | $0 |
| 2010 | $0 | $0 | $143 | $758,401 | $0 |
| 2008 | $20 | $0 | $143 | $758,401 | $20 |
| 2006 | $30 | $4,374 | $123 | $758,401 | $30 |
| 2004 | $171,843 | $169,710 | $4,468 | $758,401 | $171,773 |
| 2002 | $182,628 | $189,806 | $2,335 | $854,121 | $182,523 |
| 2000 | $483,641 | $474,126 | $9,513 | $966,613 | $481,609 |
Elections
No elections on file.
Committees
- COMITE JOSE HERNANDEZ-MAYORAL COMISIONADO RESIDENTE INC β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| D (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | COMITE JOSE HERNANDEZ-MAYORAL COMISIONADO RESIDENTE INC | β | candidate_committees |