DAVIS, CHANCE
I Β· house
Sign in to add to a watchlist β
- FEC candidate id
H0TX18375- Internal id
f006e624-2bcb-4b9d-8c61-2936c88377e5- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), TX-18. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 791,493 |
| People | Median age | 33 |
| Income | Median household income | $63,409 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $36,683 |
| Income | In poverty | 22.0% |
| Income | Unemployed | 7.8% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.526 |
| Race | White alone | 24.8% |
| Race | Black alone | 31.3% |
| Race | Asian alone | 4.8% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 44.9% |
| Race | Two or more races | 23.3% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 24.7% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 56.0% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 37.9% |
| Education | High school or higher | 54.1% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 28.4% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 10.8% |
| Household | Family households | 61.6% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.67 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 44.7% |
| Housing | Median home value | $244,000 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,320 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 53.5% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 4.2% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 6.7% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 9.6% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 4.1% |
| Health | With a disability | 12.1% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 89.4% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 7.6% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 70.8% |
| Commute | Public transit | 2.3% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 11.5% |
Elections
- 2020 general house Β· TX-18 β running
- 2024 general house Β· TX-18 β lost_general
- 2026 general house Β· TX-18 β running
Committees
- A CHANCE 4 TEXAS β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 15.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | A CHANCE 4 TEXAS | β | candidate_committees |