BOLER, MARK
L Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H0TX26105- Internal id
1ebe134d-3d04-4ea9-9b37-72c2ed4274c5- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), TX-04. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 823,011 |
| People | Median age | 39 |
| Income | Median household income | $97,860 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $50,872 |
| Income | In poverty | 8.3% |
| Income | Unemployed | 4.1% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.462 |
| Race | White alone | 62.5% |
| Race | Black alone | 9.0% |
| Race | Asian alone | 12.6% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 15.1% |
| Race | Two or more races | 11.5% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 17.1% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 77.2% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 9.4% |
| Education | High school or higher | 65.9% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 44.8% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 17.1% |
| Household | Family households | 69.8% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.64 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 27.6% |
| Housing | Median home value | $393,600 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,635 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 67.7% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 2.0% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 3.1% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 8.2% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 6.2% |
| Health | With a disability | 10.8% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 93.5% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 4.5% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 65.5% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.4% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 22.9% |
Elections
- 2010 general house Β· TX-26 β lost_general
- 2012 general house Β· TX-26 β lost_general
- 2014 general house Β· TX-26 β lost_general
- 2016 general house Β· TX-26 β lost_general
- 2018 general house Β· TX-26 β lost_general
- 2020 general house Β· TX-26 β lost_general
- 2024 general house Β· TX-4 β lost_general
Committees
No committees on file.
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 15.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.