TUTHILL, JUSTIN

OTHER · house

FEC candidate id: H0VT01070
Internal id: 230a739b-c6e2-4e79-9b0b-76337a132b05
Status: challenger

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

Cycle	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand	Debts	Indiv. contribs.
2022	$0	$0	$0	$0	$0

Elections

No elections on file.

Committees

TUTHILL FOR CONGRESS — principal · type S

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 15.1%

Feature	Δ P(win)
Base rate (historical)	15.1%

Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Connected on the graph

Outbound (1)

date	type	to	amount	role	source
—	principal_candidate_of	TUTHILL FOR CONGRESS	—		candidate_committees

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