KREISELMAIER, ELIZABETH

R · house

FEC candidate id: H0WA06081
Internal id: 52f1c6d7-fa3e-427c-be82-9b6eed0f0306
Status: open seat

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here — American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), WA-06. Source.

Category	Metric	Value
People	Population	782,007
People	Median age	42
Income	Median household income	$90,625
Income	Per-capita income	$49,651
Income	In poverty	10.1%
Income	Unemployed	4.9%
Income	Gini inequality index	0.450
Race	White alone	74.7%
Race	Black alone	3.3%
Race	Asian alone	4.2%
Race	Hispanic or Latino	9.6%
Race	Two or more races	12.2%
Origin	Foreign-born	7.4%
Language	Speaks English only at home	89.8%
Language	Speaks Spanish at home	4.7%
Education	High school or higher	58.5%
Education	Bachelor's or higher	35.1%
Education	Advanced degree	13.4%
Household	Family households	63.6%
Household	Avg household size	2.37
Household	Never married (15+)	29.1%
Housing	Median home value	$498,600
Housing	Median gross rent	$1,651
Housing	Single-family detached	69.6%
Housing	Built before 1940	5.0%
Housing	Overcrowded (>1 per room)	2.6%
Housing	Vacant units	9.8%
Service	Veterans (18+)	12.2%
Health	With a disability	16.7%
Connectivity	Households with broadband	93.5%
Connectivity	Households with no internet	4.5%
Commute	Drove alone	66.9%
Commute	Public transit	3.1%
Commute	Worked from home	16.2%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

Cycle	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand	Debts	Indiv. contribs.
2026	$0	$1,365	$0	$0	$0
2024	$253	$7,908	$1,365	$16,500	$0
2022	$426,187	$428,181	$9,021	$16,500	$398,404
2020	$156,123	$145,108	$11,015	$12,000	$121,463

Elections

2020 general house · WA-6 — lost_general
2022 general house · WA-6 — lost_general
2024 general house · WA-6 — lost_general

Committees

ELIZABETH FOR CONGRESS — principal · type H

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 20.1%

Feature	Δ P(win)
Base rate (historical)	15.1%
R (major party)	+10.0%
open seat	-5.0%

Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

Date	From committee	Type	Amount
2022-10-24	HUCK PAC FOR AMERICA	24K	$5,000
2022-10-20	NATIONAL PRO-LIFE ALLIANCE PAC	24K	$5,000
2022-09-28	PROTECT-AMERICA	24E	$1,500
2022-09-08	PROTECT-AMERICA	24E	$1,000
2022-08-24	WINRED	24K	$-10
2022-07-01	WASHINGTON STATE REPUBLICAN PARTY	24C	$6,981
2022-06-29	WASHINGTON STATE REPUBLICAN PARTY	24C	$6,900
2022-06-22	WINRED	24K	$-50
2021-06-11	PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTES	24A	$8

Connected on the graph

Inbound (9)

date	from	type	amount	source
2022-10-24	HUCK PAC FOR AMERICA	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2022-10-20	NATIONAL PRO-LIFE ALLIANCE PAC	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2022-09-28	PROTECT-AMERICA	contributed_to	$1,500	pas2
2022-09-08	PROTECT-AMERICA	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-08-24	WINRED	contributed_to	$-10	pas2
2022-07-01	WASHINGTON STATE REPUBLICAN PARTY	contributed_to	$6,981	pas2
2022-06-29	WASHINGTON STATE REPUBLICAN PARTY	contributed_to	$6,900	pas2
2022-06-22	WINRED	contributed_to	$-50	pas2
2021-06-11	PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTES	contributed_to	$8	pas2

Outbound (1)

date	type	to	amount	role	source
—	principal_candidate_of	ELIZABETH FOR CONGRESS	—		candidate_committees

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