WARDYNSKI, CASEY
R Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H2AL05128- Internal id
b37e9165-8e42-49bf-8e0c-ae34cc722e35- Status
- open seat
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), AL-05. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 745,693 |
| People | Median age | 40 |
| Income | Median household income | $77,752 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $42,792 |
| Income | In poverty | 11.3% |
| Income | Unemployed | 3.5% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.462 |
| Race | White alone | 69.5% |
| Race | Black alone | 17.8% |
| Race | Asian alone | 1.8% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 7.0% |
| Race | Two or more races | 7.3% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 5.0% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 92.9% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 4.5% |
| Education | High school or higher | 60.9% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 36.1% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 14.3% |
| Household | Family households | 64.5% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.45 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 29.8% |
| Housing | Median home value | $257,700 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,083 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 72.4% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 1.9% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 1.4% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 8.6% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 9.6% |
| Health | With a disability | 15.5% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 89.5% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 7.5% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 78.6% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.1% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 12.0% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | $777,338 | $777,338 | $0 | $153,000 | $595,228 |
Elections
- 2022 general house Β· AL-5 β lost_general
Committees
- CASEY FOR CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 20.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
| open seat | -5.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Independent expenditures
Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).
| Cycle | Support | Oppose | IEs |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | $218,269 | $15,046 | 29 |
Recent (latest 25)
| Date | Spender | For / against | Amount | Purpose |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND | support | $942 | IE- WARDYNSKI- DIGITAL MARKETING |
| β | FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND | support | $941 | IE- WARDYNSKI- EMAIL MARKETING |
| 2022-06-15 | AMERICAN DEFENSE FUND | oppose | $15,046 | MEDIA PLACEMENT / MEDIA PRODUCTION |
| 2022-06-15 | FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND | support | $155 | IE- WARDYNSKI- DONATION PROCESSING |
| 2022-06-13 | AMERICA FIRST ALABAMA PAC | support | $7,500 | IE-Wardynski-Media Buy |
| 2022-06-10 | AMERICA FIRST ALABAMA PAC | support | $-8,000 | IE-Wardynski-Media Buy-ADJUST Orig Rpt 6/4/22 |
| 2022-06-09 | FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND | support | $16 | IE- WARDYNSKI- DONATION PROCESSING |
| 2022-06-05 | AMERICA FIRST ALABAMA PAC | support | $338 | IE-Wardynski-Media Production |
| 2022-06-02 | HOUSE FREEDOM ACTION | support | $42,078 | IE- Wardynski- Media Buy |
| 2022-06-02 | FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND | support | $3 | IE- WARDYNSKI- DONATION PROCESSING |
| 2022-06-02 | HOUSE FREEDOM ACTION | support | $43,687 | IE- Wardynski- Media Buy |
| 2022-05-26 | FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND | support | $15 | IE- WARDYNSKI- DONATION PROCESSING |
| 2022-05-24 | AMERICA FIRST ALABAMA PAC | support | $25,000 | IE-Wardynski-Media Buy |
| 2022-05-24 | FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND | support | $5 | IE- WARDYNSKI- DONATION PROCESSING |
| 2022-05-19 | FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND | support | $320 | IE- WARDYNSKI- DONATION PROCESSING |
| 2022-05-18 | HOUSE FREEDOM ACTION | support | $22,449 | IE- Wardysnki- Media Buy |
| 2022-05-12 | FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND | support | $141 | IE- WARDYNSKI- DONATION PROCESSING |
| 2022-05-10 | AMERICA FIRST ALABAMA PAC | support | $275 | IE-Wardynski-Media Production |
| 2022-05-10 | AMERICA FIRST ALABAMA PAC | support | $20,000 | IE-Wardynski-Media Buy |
| 2022-05-04 | FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND | support | $438 | IE- WARDYNSKI- DONATION PROCESSING |
| 2022-04-29 | FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND | support | $797 | IE- WARDYNSKI- DIGITAL MARKETING |
| 2022-04-27 | FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND | support | $48 | IE- WARDYNSKI- DONATION PROCESSING |
| 2022-04-21 | FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND | support | $62 | IE- WARDYNSKI- DONATION PROCESSING |
| 2022-04-19 | FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND | support | $769 | IE- WARDYNSKI- TEXT MARKETING |
| 2022-03-31 | FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND | support | $16 | IE- WARDYNSKI- DONATION PROCESSING |
Transfers from committees
Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).
Connected on the graph
Inbound (90)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND | supports_independently | $941 | fec_ies | |
| β | FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND | supports_independently | $942 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-11-01 | OLD BREED PAC, INC. | contributed_to | $2,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-06-30 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-250 | pas2 | |
| 2022-06-30 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-5 | pas2 | |
| 2022-06-30 | HOUSE FREEDOM ACTION FUND | contributed_to | $-4,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-06-29 | FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND | contributed_to | $0 | pas2 | |
| 2022-06-22 | FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND | contributed_to | $48 | pas2 | |
| 2022-06-21 | ASSOCIATED BUILDERS AND CONTRACTORS, INC. POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (ABC PAC) | contributed_to | $2,500 | pas2 | |
| 2022-06-15 | FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND | supports_independently | $155 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-06-15 | AMERICAN DEFENSE FUND SUPER PAC | opposes_independently | $15,046 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-06-15 | FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND | contributed_to | $154 | pas2 | |
| 2022-06-15 | AMERICAN DEFENSE FUND SUPER PAC | contributed_to | $15,046 | pas2 | |
| 2022-06-13 | AMERICA FIRST ALABAMA PAC | contributed_to | $7,500 | pas2 | |
| 2022-06-13 | AMERICA FIRST ALABAMA PAC | supports_independently | $7,500 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-06-10 | AMERICA FIRST ALABAMA PAC | supports_independently | $-8,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-06-10 | AMERICA FIRST ALABAMA PAC | contributed_to | $-8,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-06-09 | FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND | contributed_to | $15 | pas2 | |
| 2022-06-09 | FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND | contributed_to | $940 | pas2 | |
| 2022-06-09 | FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND | supports_independently | $16 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-06-05 | AMERICA FIRST ALABAMA PAC | contributed_to | $337 | pas2 | |
| 2022-06-05 | AMERICA FIRST ALABAMA PAC | supports_independently | $338 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-06-02 | HOUSE FREEDOM ACTION FUND | supports_independently | $43,687 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-06-02 | HOUSE FREEDOM ACTION FUND | supports_independently | $42,078 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-06-02 | HOUSE FREEDOM ACTION FUND | contributed_to | $43,687 | pas2 | |
| 2022-06-02 | HOUSE FREEDOM ACTION FUND | contributed_to | $42,077 | pas2 | |
| 2022-06-02 | FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND | contributed_to | $2 | pas2 | |
| 2022-06-02 | FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND | supports_independently | $3 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-06-01 | TORCH TECHNOLOGIES, INC POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-05-31 | FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND | contributed_to | $941 | pas2 | |
| 2022-05-26 | FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND | supports_independently | $15 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-05-26 | FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND | contributed_to | $5,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-05-26 | FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND | contributed_to | $15 | pas2 | |
| 2022-05-24 | AMERICA FIRST ALABAMA PAC | contributed_to | $25,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-05-24 | FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND | supports_independently | $5 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-05-24 | AMERICA FIRST ALABAMA PAC | supports_independently | $25,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-05-24 | FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND | contributed_to | $5 | pas2 | |
| 2022-05-19 | FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND | supports_independently | $320 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-05-19 | TORCH TECHNOLOGIES, INC POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-05-19 | FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND | contributed_to | $320 | pas2 | |
| 2022-05-18 | HOUSE FREEDOM ACTION FUND | contributed_to | $22,449 | pas2 | |
| 2022-05-18 | HOUSE FREEDOM ACTION FUND | supports_independently | $22,449 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-05-12 | FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND | supports_independently | $141 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-05-12 | FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND | contributed_to | $141 | pas2 | |
| 2022-05-10 | AMERICA FIRST ALABAMA PAC | supports_independently | $275 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-05-10 | AMERICA FIRST ALABAMA PAC | supports_independently | $20,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-05-10 | AMERICA FIRST ALABAMA PAC | contributed_to | $275 | pas2 | |
| 2022-05-10 | AMERICA FIRST ALABAMA PAC | contributed_to | $20,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-05-04 | FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND | contributed_to | $438 | pas2 | |
| 2022-05-04 | AMERICA FIRST ALABAMA PAC | contributed_to | $337 | pas2 | |
| 2022-05-04 | FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND | supports_independently | $438 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-04-29 | FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND | contributed_to | $796 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-29 | FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND | supports_independently | $797 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-04-27 | FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND | contributed_to | $50 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-27 | FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND | supports_independently | $48 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-04-27 | FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND | contributed_to | $48 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-27 | FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND | contributed_to | $963 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-27 | FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND | contributed_to | $10 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-27 | FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND | contributed_to | $20 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-27 | FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND | contributed_to | $200 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-27 | FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND | contributed_to | $100 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-27 | FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND | contributed_to | $1 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-27 | FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND | contributed_to | $25 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-27 | FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND | contributed_to | $26 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-27 | FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND | contributed_to | $100 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-21 | FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND | contributed_to | $100 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-21 | FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND | contributed_to | $10 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-21 | FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND | contributed_to | $100 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-21 | FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND | supports_independently | $62 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-04-21 | FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND | contributed_to | $10 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-21 | FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND | contributed_to | $25 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-21 | FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND | contributed_to | $62 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-21 | FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND | contributed_to | $100 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-21 | FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND | contributed_to | $1,240 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-21 | FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND | contributed_to | $5,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-21 | FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND | contributed_to | $250 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-19 | FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND | supports_independently | $769 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-04-18 | FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND | contributed_to | $769 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-14 | AMERICA FIRST ALABAMA PAC | contributed_to | $5,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-03-31 | FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND | contributed_to | $15 | pas2 | |
| 2022-03-31 | FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND | supports_independently | $16 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-03-18 | AMERICA FIRST ALABAMA PAC | contributed_to | $30,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-03-18 | AMERICA FIRST ALABAMA PAC | supports_independently | $30,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-03-14 | AMERICA FIRST ALABAMA PAC | contributed_to | $275 | pas2 | |
| 2022-03-14 | AMERICA FIRST ALABAMA PAC | supports_independently | $275 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-03-11 | AMERICA FIRST ALABAMA PAC | supports_independently | $10,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-03-11 | AMERICA FIRST ALABAMA PAC | contributed_to | $10,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-03-10 | AMERICA FIRST ALABAMA PAC | contributed_to | $20,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-03-10 | AMERICA FIRST ALABAMA PAC | supports_independently | $20,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2021-12-28 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-15 | pas2 |
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | CASEY FOR CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees |